S.Amdt. 2042

1. Adds SEC. __. NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE ON GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE wherever appropriate

   Adds a section

   Inserted: SEC. __. NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE ON GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE.

   Inserted: (a) Requirement for National Intelligence Estimate.--

   Inserted: (1) In general.--Except as provided in paragraph (2), not later than 270 days after the date of the enactment of this Act, the Director of National Intelligence shall submit to Congress a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on the anticipated geopolitical effects of global climate change and the implications of such effects on the national security of the United States.

   Inserted: (2) Notice regarding submittal.--If the Director of National Intelligence determines that the National Intelligence Estimate required by paragraph (1) cannot be submitted by the date specified in that paragraph, the Director shall notify Congress and provide--

   Inserted: (A) the reasons that the National Intelligence Estimate cannot be submitted by such date; and

   Inserted: (B) an anticipated date for the submittal of the National Intelligence Estimate.

   Inserted: (3) Content.--The Director of National Intelligence shall prepare the National Intelligence Estimate required by this subsection using the mid-range projections of the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change--

   Inserted: (A) to assess the political, social, agricultural, and economic risks during the 30-year period beginning on the date of the enactment of this Act posed by global climate change for countries or regions that are-- (i) of strategic economic or military importance to the United States and at risk of significant impact due to global climate change; or

   Inserted: (ii) at significant risk of large-scale humanitarian suffering with cross-border implications as predicted on the basis of the assessments;

   Inserted: (B) to assess other risks posed by global climate change, including increased conflict over resources or between ethnic groups, within countries or transnationally, increased displacement or forced migrations of vulnerable populations due to inundation or other causes, increased food insecurity, and increased risks to human health from infectious disease;

   Inserted: (C) to assess the capabilities of the countries or regions described in clause (i) or (ii) of subparagraph (A) to respond to adverse impacts caused by global climate change; and

   Inserted: (4) to make recommendations for further assessments of security consequences of global climate change that would improve national security planning.

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   Inserted: (5) Coordination.--In preparing the National Intelligence Estimate under this subsection, the Director of National Intelligence shall consult with representatives of the scientific community, including atmospheric and climate studies, security studies, conflict studies, economic assessments, and environmental security studies, the Secretary of Defense, the Secretary of State, the Administrator of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, the Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, the Secretary of Energy, and the Secretary of Agriculture, and, if appropriate, multilateral institutions and allies of the United States that have conducted significant research on global climate change.

   Inserted: (b) Response to the National Intelligence Estimate.--

   Inserted: (1) Report by the secretary of defense.--Not later than 270 days after the date that the National Intelligence Estimate required by subsection (a) is submitted to Congress, the Secretary of Defense shall submit to the Committee on Appropriations, the Committee on Armed Services, and the Select Committee on Intelligence of the Senate and the Committee on Appropriations, the Committee on Armed Services, and the Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence of the House of Representatives a report on--

   Inserted: (A) the projected impact on the military installations and capabilities of the United States of the effects of global climate change as assessed in the National Intelligence Estimate;

   Inserted: (B) the projected impact on United States military operations of the effects of global climate change described in the National Intelligence Estimate; and

   Inserted: (C) recommended research and analysis needed to further assess the impacts on the military of global climate change.

   Inserted: (2) Sense of congress on the next quadrennial defense review.--It is the sense of Congress that the Secretary of Defense should address the findings of the National Intelligence Estimate required by subsection (a) regarding the impact of global climate change and potential implications of such impact on the Armed Forces and for the size, composition, and capabilities of Armed Forces in the next Quadrennial Defense Review.

   Inserted: (c) Authorization of Research.--

   Inserted: (1) In general.--The Secretary of Defense is authorized to carry out research on the impacts of global climate change on military operations, doctrine, organization, training, material, logistics, personnel, and facilities and the actions needed to address those impacts. Such research may include--

   Inserted: (A) the use of war gaming and other analytical exercises;

   Inserted: (B) analysis of the implications for United States defense capabilities of large-scale Arctic sea-ice melt and broader changes in Arctic climate;

   Inserted: (C) analysis of the implications for United States defense capabilities of abrupt climate change;

   Inserted: (D) analysis of the implications of the findings derived from the National Intelligence Estimate required under subsection (a) for United States defense capabilities;

   Inserted: (E) analysis of the strategic implications for United States defense capabilities of direct physical threats to the United States posed by extreme weather events such as hurricanes; and

   Inserted: (F) analysis of the existing policies of the Department of Defense to assess the adequacy of the Department's protections against climate risks to United States capabilities and military interests in foreign countries.

   Inserted: (2) Report.--Not later than 2 years after the date that the National Intelligence Estimate required by subsection (a) is submitted to Congress, the Secretary of Defense shall submit to Congress a report on the results of the research, war games, and other activities carried out pursuant to paragraph (1).

   Inserted: (d) Assistance.--

   Inserted: (1) Agencies of the united states.--In order to produce the National Intelligence Estimate required by subsection (a), the Director of National Intelligence may request any appropriate assistance from any agency, department, or other entity of the United State Government and such agency, department, or other entity shall provide the assistance requested.

   Inserted: (2) Other entities.--In order to produce the National Intelligence Estimate required by subsection (a), the Director of National Intelligence may request any appropriate assistance from any other person or entity.

   Inserted: (3) Reimbursement.--The Director of National Intelligence is authorized to provide appropriate reimbursement to the head of an agency, department, or entity of the United States Government that provides support requested under paragraph (1) or any other person or entity that provides assistance requested under paragraph (2).

   Inserted: (4) Authorization of appropriations.--There are authorized to be appropriated to the Director of National Intelligence such sums as may be necessary to carry out this subsection.

   Inserted: (e) Form.--The National Intelligence Estimate required by subsection (a) shall be submitted in unclassified form, to the extent consistent with the protection of intelligence sources and methods, and include unclassified key judgments of the National Intelligence Estimate. The National Intelligence Estimate may include a classified annex.

   Inserted: (f) Duplication.--If the Director of National Intelligence determines that a National Intelligence Estimate has been prepared that includes the content required by subsection (a) prior to the date of the enactment of this Act, the Director of National Intelligence shall not be required to produce the National Intelligence Estimate required by such subsection.

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