Mr. President, today we are debating the proposal of the Senate Democratic leadership to raise taxes on the American people. Pursuit of this tax hike strategy is clearly being instigated by the…
Mr. President, today we are debating the proposal of the Senate Democratic leadership to raise taxes on the American people. Pursuit of this tax hike strategy is clearly being instigated by the President's reelection efforts. I suspect that many of my friends on the other side are very uncomfortable with this strategy. I can think of a number of Senate Democrats whose constituents would be surprised to learn their Senator supports tax increases on small businesses, an increase in the alternative minimum tax, and hikes in the death tax.
With the economy still on the ropes, I think they would be surprised to learn their Senators supported a tax hike strategy that might win some votes but at the risk of sparking a recession. That is what the President wants. We will see if that is what he gets. He has pitched his tax hike plan as a way to be fiscally responsible. That could not be further from the truth. One need only look at the treatment of the House budget by my friends on the other side. That budget received more votes than any other budget considered by the Senate, including the phantom budget advanced by the Senate Democratic caucus. The House budget provided $180 billion more in deficit reduction than the President's budget for 2013. The House budget's extra deficit reduction of $180 billion exceeds the differences in deficit impact between the proposal I introduced with my friend and colleague, the Republican leader, and the proposal advanced by my Democratic friends. That is true even if you apply the other side's distorted and misleading accounting of the differences between the two proposals. More on that in a moment.
When we hear our friends on the other side say they must risk going off the fiscal cliff for deficit reduction, consider this: They rejected out-of-hand spending restraints that provided more deficit reduction than is at stake here today.
Not only are the deficit reduction numbers phony, but the President and his Democratic allies in the Senate have repeatedly suggested that they are willing to intentionally drive our economy off what Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has called the fiscal cliff in order to make a political argument about the top marginal tax rates.
The President thinks he has struck political gold with this argument. He will be able to run for reelection on a platform of raising taxes under the mantle of deficit reduction. Now, this might be politically advantageous, but I doubt it.
I do know that from a fiscal and economic perspective, the President's signature proposal threatens serious damage to our already fragile economy. The President's tax increases on those he deems ``the rich'' in fact represent a massive tax hike on the small businesses that are necessary for economic and job growth. Moreover, until he gets his way on raising taxes on these small businesses, he is threatening every single American taxpayer with a tax hike. Like a petulant child, he is insisting that it is his way or the highway. We have had far too much of that. He will get his way on raising taxes on the small businessmen and entrepreneurs--who find no shelter in today's Democratic coalition of unions, lawyers, and government employees--or he will let
the current tax relief expire, raising taxes on all Americans. This is the antithesis of statesmanship at a time when our economy requires serious direction. It is the political equivalent of a temper tantrum. I expect that American voters will have about as much patience for this as they would a similar fit from their children. The American people want a grownup in the White House, but on tax policy we appear to be dealing with adolescence.
I have said before that the President's proposal is the policy equivalent of Thelma and Louise intentionally driving their convertible off a cliff. The difference is that there is at least some ambiguity left about the fate of Thelma and Louise. If the President gets his way and either raises taxes on small businesses or denies relief to all American taxpayers, there will be no ambiguity about whom to hold responsible when our economy crashes.
When a liberal Democratic President has lost the New York Times, he has lost America. Even the Times understands what is coming if the President continues to put the pedal to the floor and drive us over the fiscal cliff. The Times wrote that ``with the economy having slowed in recent weeks, business leaders and policy makers are growing concerned that the tax increases and government spending cuts set to take effect at year's end have already begun to cause companies to hold back on hiring and investments.''
That is 100 percent right. The election is not for another 3 months, and already the President's lack of direction and the threats emanating from Democratic leadership about letting the tax relief expire are leading businesses to slow down. How can businesses plan for next year and how can they make hiring or investment decisions when they have no idea what their tax rates are going to be? They simply can't. And the President and Senate Democratic leadership, with their delay and confusion about how to extend this tax relief, are doing absolutely nothing to inspire confidence in these job creators.
Rather than address the expiration of the 2001 and 2003 bipartisan tax relief, we have been debating campaign commercials masquerading as serious legislation. Last week the Senate wasted its time on yet another piece of legislation that had absolutely no chance of becoming law and zero prospects for creating jobs. It is worth comparing the puny impact of the bill considered last week to the size of the coming tax hikes--tax hikes so large that the Washington Post has referred to their impending arrival as ``taxmageddon.''
Referring to this chart, look at the impact of the 20-percent credit versus taxmageddon over the next 10 years. The Bring Jobs Home Act would only cost about $87 billion. Taxmageddon is going to cost us $4.538 trillion.
Make no mistake, our small businesses and our economy face an existential threat at the end of 2012. Yet the majority leader schedules votes that generate campaign fodder rather than jobs or lasting economic growth.
Facing a fragile recovery and a weak jobs market, President Obama seems content to sit idly by and allow the scheduled $4.5 trillion tax hike to occur just to make a populist political argument about the need for the so-called rich to pay what he thinks is their fair share. Congress needs to act now in order to prevent this tax hike on America's families, individuals, and job creators.
Look at this chart again--the difference between the Bring Jobs Home Act and taxmageddon. It is clear that they are driving us off the cliff, and they are willing to do it for political reasons.
It is critically important for our economy and the American people that we act now to extend the bipartisan tax relief originally signed into law by President Bush and extended by President Obama back in 2010.
As you can see on the chart, the tax legislation to-do list, nothing was done on tax extenders, although we are willing to work on that with our committee chairman in the Finance Committee; nothing was done on the AMT patch, but we are willing to work on that in the overall scope of things; and nothing was done on death tax reform. In fact, the suggestion by the Democrats is to increase it so that all the small farms--or many of them--will get hammered with taxes, along with a lot of small businesses. Nothing was done to prevent the 2013 tax hikes. No, no, no, no on everything.
This is the most crucial piece of legislation Congress can address this year. If we allow this tax relief to expire as scheduled, almost every Federal income taxpayer in America will see an increase in their rates. Yet that is what our friends on the other side said they are going to do if they don't get their way--like petulant children. Some will see a rate increase of 9 percent. Others will see a rate increase of as much as 87 percent.
Because the vast majority of small businesses are flowthrough business entities, any increase in tax rates for individuals necessarily means that those small businesses will get hit with a tax increase. This tax increase lands on these small business owners even if they do not take one penny out of their business. That is what the Democrats are going to do to them. They are willing to go off the cliff and do this. Our economy simply cannot afford to take on such a fiscal shock.
It was just in 2010 when the President said the economy was so fragile we needed to carry over the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts.
We are in worse shape today than we were in 2010, but unfortunately-- or fortunately--we are in an election year. Unfortunately, the President is playing games with these very serious matters.
Our economy simply cannot afford to take on such a fiscal shock. Economists estimate if these current tax rates are allowed to expire, the economy could contract by approximately 3 percentage points. Considering the first quarter GDP growth was 1.9 percent and that expectations are even lower for the second quarter growth--that will be reported this Friday--going over the fiscal cliff would almost certainly throw us into a recession.
I don't know many economists who would disagree with that. Certainly the Fed doesn't disagree. We are going to go into a recession if the Democrats get their way. We could even slip into recession in the second half of this year, given reluctance of businesses to hire and invest due to fiscal uncertainty.
For the President and others who argue we should raise the top two tax rates in the name of fiscal responsibility, I would just like to point out a few things. The Senate majority leader introduced his tax bill--one that largely mirrors the President's proposal--under the auspices of deficit reduction. It closely adheres to the Democratic talking point that the only thing standing between our deficits and fiscal stability is the current top marginal tax rates. We have heard this argument for a year and a half, with the President and his Democratic allies insisting it is not their out-of-control spending that got us into this mess but the Republicans' refusal to allow for tax hikes on the so-called rich.
That is laughable. This argument sounds nice, but it is belied by the actual facts. According to the Joint Committee on Taxation, an apples- to-apples comparison of the Democrats' tax proposal and the proposal I introduced with my friend the Republican leader shows a difference of $54.5 billion. The Democrats' bill--which raises the top rates and expands the death tax, while patching the AMT for 1 year--is scored at $249.7 billion, and the score of my bill--without the 2013 AMT patch-- is $304.2 billion.
So we have a debt that is fast approaching $16 trillion. Taxes are set to go up by $4.5 trillion, and Senate Democrats are crowing about their fiscal responsibility, threatening to drive the economy off the cliff, over $54.5 billion worth of tax relief? I believe this is called missing the forest for the trees. In order to satisfy their urge to redistribute $54 billion of taxpayer dollars, they are willing to risk a recession and see taxes go up by $4.5 trillion.
The President recently claimed we need to raise the top two tax rates because ``it's a major driver of our deficits.'' The numbers show this is plain and simple nonsense. The real difference between the Democratic and Republican plans is only $54.5 billion--or about 5 percent of the deficit. That represents .34 percent of our national debt. To put it another way: The Democrats' tax hike proposal would only provide enough additional revenue to pay for 5 days of Federal Government spending--5 days of Federal Government spending.
It is also worth noting what exactly the Democrats' refusal to provide 2 years of AMT relief means for their constituents. If Senate Democrats do not patch the AMT in 2013, their AMT will take away over 40 percent of the tax relief they claim to be providing with their bill. This is their prerogative, but I hope the hometown papers in northern Virginia, New Jersey, New York, Florida, and Colorado are paying attention. I hope they are paying close attention to what a lack of AMT relief will mean for middle-income families in those States.
These tax proposals, in the end, have nothing to do with sound tax policy that maximizes economic growth, and they have nothing to do with deficit reduction. They have everything to do with pursuing an antique economic philosophy that is principally concerned with running down the economy's job creators and entrepreneurs.
The explicit tax policy is only the half of it. We learned yesterday from the Congressional Budget Office the true tax bill for ObamaCare is over $1 trillion. We were promised there wouldn't be any tax increases. It is the biggest fiasco I have seen around here in almost the whole time I have been here. In fact, I can't think of anything bigger.
All the new ObamaCare regulations will cost McDonald's franchisees alone more than $400 million in health care costs. The President might think Ray Kroc did not build McDonald's, but this is delusional. He might view the small businessman who took a chance and opened those franchises as not especially smart, not responsible for his own success, but this is a view that could only be embraced by an academic and activist who has no experience in the private sector.
The Joint Committee on Taxation tells us that 53 percent of all flowthrough business income in the United States would be subject to the President's proposed tax hikes. Take that, small business. The President is saying: We don't care about you, I guess. I do, and Republicans certainly do.
The President's proposal would take the marginal tax rate on small businesses from 33 percent and 35 percent to 39.6 percent and 41 percent, respectively. Look at this chart. This is the increase to small business--the top marginal rates. As we can see, it goes up from 33, 35 to 40 and 41 percent. How could that not help but ruin our economy? This is the kind of economic thinking we are putting up with around here, and it is all coming from the White House. Our friends on the other side apparently don't want to take the White House on. It is an increase of 17 to 24 percent on the marginal tax rates for small businesses.
Ernst & Young recently released a study showing these proposed tax hikes--on top of ObamaCare's 3.8 percent tax increase--on dividends, interest and capital gains would reduce our economic output by 1.3 percent. The Ernst & Young study also found that real aftertax wages would fall by 1.8 percent as a result of President Obama's policies.
Not surprisingly, the study noted 54 percent of the entire private sector workforce is employed by flowthrough businesses, such as S corporations and partnerships, the majority of which would see their taxes go up under the President's plan.
That is where the jobs are. What kind of thinking are they willing to accept on the other side of the aisle? It is hard for me to believe. There isn't a person over there I don't care for. It is hard for me to believe they are not willing to stand up to this President and say: Hey, the game is over.
The truth is many of the people targeted by Democrats as wealthy are, in fact, middle-income, small business owners who spent their whole lives building up a business, then selling it and falling into the top bracket just for the year of the sale.
Consider a real-life example provided by the Associated Builders and Contractors. A husband and wife from Pennsylvania who retired to Florida owned an S corporation. In 2009, the couple paid no Federal income tax because they did not have enough taxable income to owe any tax. In 2010, when they sold their business, their adjusted gross income was about $780,000, and they paid $170,000 in taxes. If they had not sold their business in 2010, they would have paid no taxes. So the one-time sale of the business, built up over many years, caused these small business owners to be in one of the two top brackets for just 1 year, after years of building their business and then having to sell it and have this catastrophe fall on them.
Yet the President would have the American people believe this couple is part of some rich elite who are refusing to pay their fair share. That is not all or, as Ron Popiel would say: But wait, there is more.
Last week, before the ink was even dry on the Democratic leader's small business tax hike legislation, the bill was changed to substantially increase--get this--the death tax. Why was that? Because they found there was only $28 billion difference between the Democratic bill and our bill, and they wanted to find a way to get it up to $50 billion, which is, as I said, 5 days of spending around here.
It might be hard to believe, but this proposal is even worse than President Obama's. The proposal by the Democratic leader would impose the death tax on 15 times the number of estates than under current tax policy, according to the Joint Committee on Taxation--the nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation. It would increase the number of estates hit by the death tax from 3,600 estates to 55,200. According to the Joint Committee on Taxation, 24 times more farming estates would be hit by the Democrats' death tax proposal.
What is going on over there? These are intelligent people--our friends on the other side. How can they possibly live with this?
According to the Joint Committee on Taxation, 24 times more farming estates would be hit by the Democrats' death tax proposal which they wrote in here. I have to believe they just did it so they could raise the difference between the two bills from $28 billion--3 days' spending by the Federal Government--to a little over $50 billion--5 days' spending. Let's call it 8 days' spending. The number of small businesses hit by this death tax spike would grow by 13 times.
What would that do to the incentives for people to build small businesses, small businesses that could become big businesses and employ thousands of people? This proposal would subject 2,400 percent more farms and 1,300 percent more small businesses to the death tax.
Farmers work all their lives hoping to leave their farm to their children. They will have to sell the farm to be able to pay the death taxes our friends on the other side have written into this bill. They can't be serious. But they are. I would like to be a fly on the wall when some Members of this body go home and attempt to defend their support for a proposal effectively designed to hobble small businesses and family farms.
The President might think it is no big deal. I am sure he has never been on a farm, other than since he has been President. I am not sure he has ever worked with a small business. He has been a community organizer. That is important, but that doesn't necessarily qualify someone for President. After all, according to the President, those farmers and businessmen were not responsible for their success anyway.
I am going to give the President the benefit of the doubt on that one. I think maybe he misspoke. But I sometimes believe, in the President's view, he thinks these folks aren't very smart; they owe it all to the bureaucrats stationed at the Departments of Agriculture and Labor and their helpful investment-creating regulations. We all know about those, don't we? The sweat and tears and sacrifice of the families and individuals who create and run small businesses have nothing on the hard work and commitment of the mid-level bureaucrats who make their success possible.
But my guess is that some Members of this body have a slightly more nuanced understanding of the importance of these farms and businesses to their communities, on both sides of the aisle. They have to.
There is a limit to what this President should ask of my Democratic friends, and he is asking way too much. They should stand up and say, We have had it. We are not going to do this.
It seems clear what the agenda of the Senate should be. We should be focused like hawks on preventing
Taxmageddon. We should be focused on job creation. Yet instead of addressing these important matters, President Obama and his Democratic allies are spinning their wheels trying to raise taxes on politically unpopular groups. Even the Democrats' treasured Keynesian economics says you do not raise taxes in a weak economy if you want to create more jobs.
The President is devoting his entire reelection campaign toward tax hiking in the name of fairness. We have voted twice on proposals to raise taxes on oil and gas companies for no other reason than that Democratic pollsters found the President's base does not like oil and gas companies. Then a few months ago, we voted on the silly Buffett rule. This was not serious tax policy. It was a statutory talking point--and not a very good one at that. Then there was last week's bill on overseas investment that was little more than a campaign advertisement with cosponsors.
The American people are tired of these political stunts. They are tired of the Senate doing nothing. They are tired of the Senate bringing up bills that aren't going to go anywhere. Every minute Democrats spend playing politics is a minute we fail to prevent the largest tax increase in American history. But instead of working to prevent this massive tax hike on small businesses, the President and the congressional Democratic leadership have doubled down on their tax hike strategy.
Believe it or not, while doubling down on their tax hike strategy, our friends on the other side are pushing the canard that the Hatch- McConnell proposal is a tax hike. Yesterday, one of our colleagues--who I won't name, though he named me--said the following:
Republicans claim not to want to raise taxes, but the
Republican tax bill would let very popular lower and middle-
class provisions expire that would cost 25 million Americans
an average of $1,000 each. Under the Republican bill, 12
million families would see an end to the--a smaller child tax
credit. Six million families would lose their earned income
tax credit and 11 million families would lose their American
opportunity tax credit.
A little over 11 years ago, one-fourth of the Democratic caucus supported the bipartisan 2001 relief plan which is the foundation of the policy underlying the Hatch-McConnell bill. At that time, the Joint Committee on Taxation showed that the bill distributed an across-the- board tax cut which made the Tax Code more progressive. The 2003 bill was passed on a narrower bipartisan basis and extended on a broader bipartisan basis in 2004 and 2006--bipartisan. The Joint Committee on Taxation data showed that, against current law, the fiscal cliff my friends are threatening is, not surprisingly, basically the same as it was in 2001, 2003, and 2006.
In other words, the Hatch-McConnell proposal provides across-the- board tax relief benefiting virtually every income tax payer, yielding a tax system that is more progressive than we would face if we went over the fiscal cliff. Let me repeat that.
The Hatch-McConnell proposal provides across-the-board tax relief benefiting virtually every income tax payer, yielding a tax system that is more progressive than what we would face if we went over the fiscal cliff. The Joint Committee on Taxation analysis indicates a similar result today.
To be sure, if you count continuous stimulus checks issued by the government to folks who do not pay income tax as tax cuts, the Democrats' proposal does more of that than the Hatch-McConnell proposal. There is no question about that. But when is it going to end? Is the upper 49 percent going to have to continue to carry everything in this country?
Under Federal budget law, those continuous stimulus checks are counted in the main as spending. I would say to the colleague I referred to a moment ago that if the Democrats want to use that talking point--one at odds with conventional budget accounting--it is a free country. But if Democrats are going to make that strained and tortured charge, then they should also answer for the failure of their bill to patch the AMT for the year they claim to be delivering middle-income tax relief.
Their plan exposes 28 million middle-income families to a stealth tax increase of over $3,500 per family. So while they claim that our bill raises taxes by cutting stimulus spending, they are mum on the massive tax increase on 28 million American families implicated in their own bill. I think we might have a case here of folks in glass houses throwing stones.
Make no mistake, Taxmageddon is coming. The only good news is that Congress can prevent this historic tax increase from happening. As I mentioned, I have a bill I have introduced with Senator McConnell--S. 3413, the Tax Hike Prevention Act of 2012--which will prevent this historic tax increase and will pave the way for tax reform in 2013. That is where my focus will be until Taxmageddon is averted. I hope my colleagues will join me in preventing this looming tax increase from being imposed on the American people.
Forty of my colleagues on the other side of the aisle voted to temporarily extend this tax relief in 2010, recognizing that we were in financial difficulty--we are in worse difficulty today--and they should do so again. At that time, President Obama said it would be foolish to raise taxes during an economic downturn, and he acted accordingly. I respect him for that. But he is not acting that way now. This is an election year.
Our economy remains weak today. In fact, it is weaker in terms of growth in GDP than it was at the end of 2010, and incoming data clearly point to even more slowing in the economy as uncertainty from the fiscal cliff has begun to strangle hiring and investment. My friends on the other side have got to wake up to these facts. The only thing that appears to have changed is that President Obama has apparently chosen the path of class warfare and is pursuing a politics-driven tax agenda.
I remember days in the past when my friends on the other side would rise up against even their own President when it came to good economics. I hope they will again, but it appears that it is not so today. My hope is my colleagues, who have supported this tax relief in the past, will put the President's shortsighted and self-interested partisanship aside and vote on behalf of their constituents in favor of S. 3413 to extend this tax relief to America's families and small businesses.
For the sake of the more than 12.7 million unemployed Americans, my hope is that we act to prevent the President's campaign drive to malign small businesses and raise their taxes, and that it does not get in the way of sound tax policy and job creation. To put us through this for a difference of a little more than $50 billion between the two bills is amazing to me. That amounts to about 5 days of Federal spending. And to do this because the President wants it done? Sometimes it is good for this body to stand up and say, Mr. President, you are going too far.
What have I proposed? I proposed that since it is even worse than 2010, when the President thought it was the wise thing to do in a fragile economy that we put over the 2001, 2003 tax cuts for 1 year--1 year--and that we strike out a new force in this Senate and in the House to do tax reform in that year on a bipartisan basis.
I don't believe that is an unreasonable request, especially under the circumstances that we have seen with the potential of Taxmageddon. I actually believe it would be very wise on the part of all Senators to do exactly that. And wouldn't it be wonderful if we could work together for a change over the next year, knowing that year is devoted to tax reform.
Madam President, I ask unanimous consent to have a letter dated July 25, 2012, from the Associated Builders and Contractors printed in the Record.
Madam President, I yearn for the day when we can see both sides come together and work together--work together in the best interests of the country.
We know this Presidential election is close. We know they are virtually in a tie right now. Let that play itself out, but let's do what is right here. Let's not hammer small business. Let's not have the biggest tax increase in history. Let's not put this country into a recession--and maybe even a depression. It was irresponsible, in my eyes, for any Democrat or any Republican to say that if you don't give us what we want, we are going to allow Thelma and Louise to go off the cliff. And we are Thelma and Louise in this situation.
We can work together on an economic program that hopefully everybody in this body--or at least the vast majority--can support in a bipartisan way.
I hope we can get through this. I am very concerned about our country and very concerned about the way these types of things are being brought up in this election year.
I will make one last comment. The Senate is not being run like the Senate. We are not going according to the regular order. We are not going through the committees. It is pure politics. I expect a little bit of that, but I don't expect everything to be pure politics. When our side isn't even given a chance in many circumstances to bring up amendments in the greatest deliberative body in the world, you can see why there are some bad feelings around here. And it is all being done to protect some Members here rather than doing what is right for the economy and for our country. We have got to wake up and start doing things in a little better fashion around here. I hope we can.
I hope my colleagues on the other side will accept my suggestion here. It is done in good faith. I believe we can dedicate next year to tax reform, and I believe we can get it done if we work together. I believe we can bring this country out of the morass it is in. And I suspect if my colleagues on the other side will support what I have suggested here today, the economy will start to turn around almost immediately. It seems to me it would be to their benefit in this Presidential election year, even though I don't trust what some have done in the past.
Madam President, I yield the floor.
I wish to thank my friend from California for her kindness and for her graciousness in allowing me this little bit of time to make final remarks with regard to this bill that Senator McConnell and I have filed.
We are going to be taking two votes on a critical issue in a few moments. Action on the fiscal cliff is long overdue. Before we vote, I would like to make three points. First, it has been suggested that the Hatch-McConnell bill fails to extend the earned-income tax credit and child tax credit provisions. This is utterly false. The Hatch-McConnell bill extends these provisions as they were originally agreed to in 2001, and that agreement actually doubled the child tax credit. Democrats are complaining that our bill does not extend the stimulus provisions that expanded these provisions even further and made them more refundable.
Democrats sold the stimulus bill as being ``timely, temporary, and targeted.'' Now they are holding up tax relief for nearly every income taxpayer unless these stimulus provisions that are mostly spending through the Tax Code are extended yet again.
Second, the Democratic proposal includes a significant increase in the death tax. The number of death tax filers will increase under their bill by 11 times. This is what they are proposing: 98,300 new filers will now have to fill out estate tax forms, get appraisals, deals with the IRS, and get all this done within 9 months of the death of a loved one. That is the equivalent of one entire midsized American city being forced to deal with the death tax every year.
Third, the Democratic bill is a massive tax increase on small business job creators. It would subject 53 percent of all flowthrough business income in the United States to higher taxes. There is a compromise here.
I ask unanimous consent for an additional 30 seconds, with an equivalent time for the other side.
There is a compromise here; it is the Hatch-McConnell bill. Our economy needs relief, businesses and families need certainty, and all we are proposing is extending current tax law for 1 more year so we can dedicate that year to do tax reform.
By contrast, the Democratic bill offers nothing but more uncertainty and tax increases on job creators. Let's face it, we are talking about 940,000 small businesses that will be drastically affected by this. Many of those provide jobs in our society and will continue to do so if we do not clobber them with the Democratic approach.