Tax Extenders Act Of 2009
Mr. President, I have at the desk amendment No. 3337. I ask for its immediate consideration. Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the reading of the amendment be dispensed with. Mr. President, this is the Sessions-McCaskill…
Mr. President, I have at the desk amendment No. 3337. I ask for its immediate consideration.
Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the reading of the amendment be dispensed with.
Mr. President, this is the Sessions-McCaskill amendment, offered with Senator McCaskill, my colleague from Missouri. It is a bipartisan amendment, and it is one that I think is very important. I hope my colleagues will give it serious consideration. We have close to enough votes to make it law. I am absolutely convinced it is one thing that will work to reduce the surging deficits in our country.
The week before last, I traveled my State of Alabama--25 stops, 6 days of travel. People continually expressed to me their concern about the financial future of our country. They want us to do something about it.
I heard some of my colleagues express things like: This is just populist anger. It will pass off. We need to keep a cool head here. We don't really have to change how we do business. Things are going to work out somehow, someway, although nothing in the numbers show that.
Mr. Bernanke, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, said last week in his testimony before Congress that our path is unsustainable. That is not the first time he said that. Virtually every economist who has opined in the last 6 months or more on our economy has said our spending levels are unsustainable and threaten the viability of our country's economic system. It is very troubling. We all know that, and we do not need to go into a whole lot of discussion about it.
The gross debt of our country has grown to approximately $12 trillion--the highest in our Nation's history. Some of this is internal debt. We owe Social Security and Medicare and other trust funds that may be in surplus. But we also owe trillions on the public debt--the amount of debt this country owes outside the government. Within 5 years our public debt will double, and in 10 years the public debt will triple. I will show a chart on that point before I go into the details of it. One of the consequences of the public debt is that we pay interest and we have to get nations or individuals to loan us their money by buying our Treasury bills, bonds and notes. When they give us their money, this is not free. We have to pay them interest on all of the debt we run up. This bill that is on the floor today will add to the debt again because it is not paid for.
This chart is what we get in stunning numbers. It shows that in 2009, interest on the public debt--the debt we owe to people outside our government--was $187 billion. The Congressional Budget Office scores it based on the 10-year budget President Obama submitted to us. If his budget is in effect for 10 years, the deficit would go up every single year. The debt will continue to go up every single year, and in the outyears the annual deficits will approach $1 trillion each year. The interest on the debt in 1 year would be $799 billion. That is well above the current defense budget. Aid to education is $50 billion or $60 billion. State and Federal aid to highways last year and the year before last was $40 billion. Mr. President, $800 billion in interest in 1 year? It is a stunning number, a breathtaking number. It is going to crowd out all kinds of plans some of my spending colleagues would like to effectuate in future years because we are not going to have the money or else we are going to inflate the currency and damage this economy in a most systemic way.
This disturbing trend of higher and higher deficits and deficit spending shows no sign of stopping. As of September 30, the end of our fiscal year, we finished with a record $1.4 trillion deficit. That is more than three times the highest deficit we have ever had. It is projected that as of September 30 of this year we will have a $1.4 trillion or $1.5 trillion deficit this year, which would be the highest ever again in consecutive years. It is stunning. We cannot continue to spend the way we are spending.
Between 1990 and 2002, however, Congress took some steps that actually worked to help get us out of a spiral of spending deficits. It was successful. What we did was we passed statutory caps on discretionary spending only, not Social Security, Medicare and those kinds of programs. We kept it to 1 to 2 percent growth each year. As this chart shows, these caps led to a surplus. The chart is upside down really. These are the surplus years. These are the deficit years. During these years, we begin to show a decline in deficits, all the way to the surpluses. When it expired, it jumped up again. This looks like a high deficit, and it was a very high deficit in 2004. That was about the highest, at that point $400 billion.
I just made the point that this past fiscal year, it was $1,400 billion and next year it is going to be $1,500 billion. We lost some discipline when we allowed those statutory caps or spending levels to be breached and go away.
This amendment Senator McCaskill and I have offered both restores and strengthens the procedures that were proven to work in the 1990s. It would create 4-year discretionary spending caps or limits, and it would set those limits at the level of the fiscal year 2010 budget resolution Congress passed last year.
Last year, we passed a budget resolution, not 10 years as proposed by President Obama but 5 years. It is currently in effect. One of the things you learn around here is the only part of the budget that has any teeth is the year you are in. The discretionary spending on the omnibus bill that covered half the appropriations bills contained an increase of 12 percent. We are not doing a very good job at that. The budget has no teeth in these outer years. The amendment proposes, though, a fairly responsible spending increase of 2 percent or so a year over these 4 years.
One could say: Senator Sessions, your State is cutting its budget. My State is having to reduce its budget. My city is reducing its budget. My county is reducing its budget. My family is reducing our budget. Why can't you guys reduce the budget? And the answer is, we can, of course.
Some have suggested and the President has suggested that we should have a freeze on the budget, which I would support. But I am just saying to my colleagues, last year our discretionary spending accounts had double digit increases; if we pass this amendment so that we have a statutory limit of 1 to 2 percent increases for the next 4 years and it is subject to a two-thirds vote point of order in the Congress if there is a proposal to go above that on the basis of some emergency need, I think we will have a much better chance of making the kinds of tough decisions to contain this ever-growing spending level than we have been doing in the last several years.
The Omnibus appropriations bill that passed last year increased Federal spending 12 percent in 1 year. That is a lot. At 7 percent, your money will double in 10 years. At 12 percent, the spending in those accounts would double in 6 or 7 years, no doubt about it, unless something is done about those trends.
I think this legislation Senator McCaskill and I have offered will get us there. I was pleased to see that 17 Democratic Senators voted for the bill because I think there is a growing bipartisan consensus that we can do better.
A 2-percent containment in the growth of spending will not cause the United States to sink into the ocean. We are still going to exist. The American people are still going to have a government in Washington. There are still going to be bureaucrats here to take care of us if we just have a 2-percent growth in the discretionary account instead of 12 or whatever that number was last year.
I note that the President suggested freezing some of the accounts. Though
there are some very significant gimmicks in it that make it much less tight than it would appear from his State of the Union Address, it still indicates that the President himself knows we have to reduce our spending, and in some of these accounts we could easily freeze them with no damage to our Nation. I salute him for that.
This bill would create spending limits, not based on what Jeff Sessions says the limit should be, but these are the limits in the President's budget, that first 5 years of it that he proposed and that Congress passed last year. We would be simply saying this would be a hard limit on how much we can spend. Now if we need to spend more than that on an emergency, we would have to have strong support in the Congress to create an emergency designation to spend above that. We have been able to do that many times in the past when a true emergency arrived.
Some say: Jeff, you are focusing too much on the discretionary spending. Entitlements are bigger--Social Security, Medicare, those kind of things--and they are a bigger problem than discretionary spending. Well, there are three reasons we have to act on discretionary spending. One is that while entitlements, such as Social Security and Medicare, are large, they actually have a net surplus right now. In fact, Congress raided $137 billion from Social Security in fiscal year 2009 to pay for other things, such as the $800 billion stimulus package that we passed--that Congress passed--last year.
Of course, a $137 billion Social Security surplus won't pay for the Congress's $800 billion stimulus package, so where did the rest of the money come from? We borrowed it on the world market, on which we are paying interest. And what about the Social Security surplus; is that free money? No, it is not, because Social Security is heading to default. When we take the Social Security surplus into the U.S. Treasury and spend it on increasing discretionary spending by 12 percent, we give them back a debt instrument, an IOU--a Treasury bond.
I am told they are in some location in West Virginia. I am sure the chairman of the committee knows that but I want to go out and see them. They have notes out there, Treasury bills, evidencing the debt of the U.S. Treasury to the Social Security Administration. As soon as Social Security goes into deficit, it is going to call those notes. So it does not make much difference whether you borrowed it from Social Security or you borrowed it from the public. The interest rates are very similar, too. The government pays interest to Social Security and Medicare, when Medicare has a surplus.
It is projected that Congress will raid another $90 billion in 2010-- this year we are in--to pay for things such as this omnibus bill that is on the floor: for increased transportation and HUD funding, which went up 23 percent; create more funding for the State and foreign operations accounts, which went up 33 percent this year, for a record $1.4 trillion deficit last year, and a projected $1.4-plus trillion for fiscal year 2010. All of that was driven not by deficits in Medicare and Social Security but from a discretionary spending account.
Our appropriators are always saying the problem is all Social Security and Medicare. But the truth is, almost without exception, we have had surpluses in those accounts and we are spending that to supplement our general fund spending. We give evidence of debt back to our seniors from Medicare and Social Security, which the actuaries tell us, without any doubt, will soon be in deficit. We are going to call those notes, and the Treasury will have to come up with it.
So there is no free lunch. Nothing comes from nothing. If you spend money you don't have, you borrow it from somewhere. You can print money, I suppose, and devalue the currency. But everybody has the value, and the money in their pocket is devalued. It is the same as a tax. There is no way to do this in a free way. We have been irresponsible, and I think the American people are correct.
When I go to townhall meetings, what can I tell them? Oh, we didn't do anything wrong. The Senate and the House, we have been handling your money fine, my fellow Alabamian. We have done great. Don't complain. Don't get mad. You will get over it.
We have an $800 billion interest payment coming up in 2019 and our children and grandchildren are going to pay that. Yet when Senator Bunning asks that unemployment insurance be paid for out of this unspent $800 billion stimulus and not add it to the debt, which our grandchildren will pay, he was able to say with some personal conviction--with 42 grandchildren--that he wasn't going to vote for it, and he didn't. He didn't support it and he didn't agree to let it pass without an objection. He said we should have paid for it, and we could have paid for it out of the stimulus.
Another reason I think we need to focus on discretionary spending is because, unlike the entitlements, such as Social Security and Medicare, discretionary spending has overhead. There is some, but really very little overhead in Social Security and Medicare. And we can do better. I know Chairman Baucus has worked on Medicare overhead. I don't know how much can be squeezed out of Social Security overhead; not a lot, because most of it is that check that goes out to seniors, who count on it every month. But there is overhead in discretionary spending--all the things we spend our money on. Trust me, I have been in the Federal Government; I have worked there. I know it can be made more efficient.
This past year, we increased spending on the Department of the Interior and EPA by 17 percent total. I think the EPA account went up 33 percent. In 1 year they got a 33-percent increase in their budget. And by the by, this does not include any of the $800 billion stimulus funds that were allocated--about half of which has gone out. It doesn't include that. EPA got money out of that, Interior got money out of that, highways got money out of that--large amounts. We are seeing unprecedented increases in spending in these accounts.
Consider the Department of Agriculture. I remember people criticized President Bush for spending too much money on Agriculture. If you look at his Agriculture budget over the 8 years he was President, it averaged less than a 2-percent increase. Last year, our Agriculture budget--not counting the stimulus package, which sent a large amount to Agriculture--increased 15 percent. I always try to support the Agriculture budget, but I could not support that. That would double the entire agriculture spending in, what, 5 years, at compounded increases. It is not responsible. We have to do better.
The American people, I think, are upset. This recent CNN poll asked a tough question of the voters in America: Which of the following comes closer to your view of the budget deficit--the government should run a deficit if necessary when the country is in a recession and at war, or the government should balance the budget even when the country is in a recession and is at war? Sixty-seven percent said balance the budget, you guys. Because they have heard these excuses before. They have heard all of it before. What they are seeing is red ink as far as the eye can see, with record deficits above anything we have ever seen. That is what I am hearing when I go out and talk to my constituents. And frankly, I am glad I don't have to defend having voted for this stimulus package. I am glad I don't have to defend the $700 billion Wall Street bailout, and $182 billion going to AIG. They sold off one of their most profitable companies, or are talking about it, I saw in the paper today, and they are going to bring in $35 billion. They are going to use a chunk of that to pay down some of that $182 billion debt. But if they keep selling off what they have, how will they have any money to pay the rest of it? I think they are not going to pay the rest of it.
Finally, I will add that spending billions, adding billions to the baseline budget, makes a big difference. I made this chart for the DOD appropriations bill. It is an interesting little chart. I hope my colleague can pay a little attention to this weird, fine print chart. It shows what happens when there was gimmicked up on the bill an $18 billion add-on, all unpaid for. There was $18 billion added to the Defense bill. If this gets in as baseline spending, which is what it tends to do, then next year when you advertise how much you increase the Defense bill, you have this $18 billion in and it adds up, so that next year it is not just $18 billion, it is
the $18 billion additional money that is in the baseline from the previous year and then you add another $18 billion. Let's say, hypothetically, you jack it up each year by $18 billion, and the net deficit is $36 billion; and then next it is $36 billion plus $18 billion; and the next year it is $54 billion plus $18 billion; and the next year it is $72 billion plus $18 billion. You carry that out to the tenth year, and it is $162 billion plus $18 billion, or $180 billion extra for the Defense budget in 1 year, which is about $990 billion over 10 years.
So an $18 billion addition, or failure to contain the growth in a discretionary account, has tremendous ramifications over the years. It is this kind of psychology that has led us into this mess. Some of our appropriators and others in this Congress, I think, have felt a thrill if they can beat the limit on their account. If they have been given an account, and they get $80 billion or $100 billion to spend they can figure a way to gimmick it up $18 billion or $5 billion or $7 billion, and they can maneuver it through and then tell you when the bill hits the floor: Well, if you don't vote for it, Sessions, you are against agriculture and people back home are going to attack you because you voted against agriculture. And I say: Well, Mr. Senator, you put too much money in there. I can't vote for it; there is too big an increase. Therefore, you are either for agriculture or you are against agriculture.
What they said to Senator Bunning down here the other night, when he said unemployment insurance should be paid for, was: You are against unemployment insurance. You do not want people to have any unemployment insurance. That was absolutely false. They repeated it over and over and over again. But he stood like a solid rock and he didn't give in. He said: I am not agreeing to it because you could pay for it, and it is increasing the debt on my 42 grandchildren. He didn't agree to it.
Well, every now and then somebody stands up in this Senate and says: I have had enough. I am not going to say yes this time. I respect him for the courage he showed.
The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, which is a bipartisan group in DC, issued a report not long ago that said that freezing all nonwar-related discretionary spending next year could save us $60 billion in 1 year, and it will set up a new baseline that would save us--as this chart which creates a new baseline mentality shows--$600 billion over 10 years. That is a lot. Even in Washington, $600 billion is real money. On the other hand, the committee stated that if we allow discretionary spending to grow at the projected rate of GDP growth instead of inflation, it would cost us $1.7 trillion more over the next 10 years.
This is a nonbiased group. I don't think anybody would fundamentally disagree with that. So it does make a difference how much money we spend on every single account, on every single funding in an appropriations bill that comes through this Senate.
Can we get bipartisan support for having a tougher line and containing spending? I think the answer is absolutely we can. Why is there a conflict? The simple fact is the 5-year binding caps that were passed in 1990 had broad bipartisan support. In fact, a number of currently serving Republicans voted for them and 10 of our currently serving Democratic Senators did also, including Senator Reid, our Democratic leader, and Senator Inouye, the chairman of the Appropriations Committee. He voted for them in the 1990s.
If we think this through, we have every reason to believe we can get there. The 5-year spending cap that passed in the 1990 budget deal had even stronger bipartisan support. It passed again in 1997. I know Senator Baucus was here then, and it passed 85 to 15, with 44 currently serving Senators supporting it, and 26 of them were Democrats. Senators Reid, Durbin, Conrad, and Inouye all voted for them. If we could do it in 1990, and again in 1997, there is no reason we cannot do it now. In fact, I and my staff have met with numerous groups across the political spectrum, including the Brookings Institute, the Committee for Responsible Federal Government, the Urban Institute, the Progressive Policy Institute, the Concord Coalition, and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce--everybody we met with has said getting a handle on discretionary spending is essential.
Although AARP, the Association of Retired Persons, initially expressed opposition to the amendment, I believe we have addressed their concerns. Their chief concern was that we would not separate defense and nondefense spending, which would let the defense spending raid nondefense accounts. However, we have separated them, so that is not a danger.
Of course, one criticism some might give to the bill is that it raises the threshold for waiving--breaking the spending limits from 60 Senate votes to 67 Senate votes, and they say that is just too restrictive. But we have to raise this threshold because we have a 60- vote situation now and we have been able to muster 60 votes to pass every kind of possible emergency bill, and some of those clearly were not emergencies. It takes 67 votes in this Chamber to make a change to the Senate Journal, but we can max out the Senate's credit card with 60 votes. Something doesn't seem right about that. I think, with the seriousness of our situation, this would be a good step.
Furthermore, the fiscal year 2010 budget resolution already accounted for about $10 billion per year in emergency spending, which we have allowed to remain in this amendment. Any emergencies for which that is inadequate should be able to receive the support of 67 Senators--if we have an emergency. In fact, all the disaster relief emergencies, those kinds of emergencies since the emergency designation was created in 1990 to try to contain spending, have received support of more than 67 Senators. Isn't that interesting? All of our emergency designations for hurricanes and earthquakes and fires and storms and the like have received more than 67 votes. So I think it is just not a good argument to say we can't respond to a legitimate emergency.
The prospect of massive Federal spending is hurting jobs and growth. In a recent editorial in the Wall Street Journal, Stanford University economics professor Michael Boskin stated:
The explosion of spending, deficits and debt foreshadows
even higher prospective taxes on work, saving, investment and
employment. That not only will damage our economic future but
is harming jobs and growth now.
China and other countries may not be able to keep financing our debt in the future even if they would like to--which I really think they won't. Professor Allan Meltzer, a well-known scholar on the Federal Reserve and monetary policy, noted in a column in the Wall Street Journal that our current and projected deficits are too large relative to current and prospective world savings to rely on other countries being able to finance them for the next 10 years. In other words, there may not be enough surplus money in the world to buy these debt instruments we are going to have to issue. In fact, a recent Washington Times editorial entitled ``Spending to a Depression'' notes that, since China and other countries are trying to reduce their holdings of dollars, we will have to rely more and more on U.S. banks to buy our bonds, which will decrease capital available for lending to businesses.
On an airplane today, coming back from Alabama, I read an article that made reference to the fact that when the Federal Government puts out this much money and interest rates become higher than they have been. They are currently extraordinarily low, and banks are now buying Treasury securities at 3.6 or 3.7 percent interest for 10-year Treasury notes. Instead of loaning to local businesses, banks can get the money from the Fed at less than 1 percent and they can buy a Federal Government debt instrument for 3.5 or 4 percent and not have to loan it to some businessperson who might be a higher risk. We are crowding out resources necessary for economic growth. This is a reality.
In a Budget Committee hearing on budget reform on November 10, former Comptroller of the Currency and GAO head David Walker testified that by 2040, 30 years from now, we will have to double taxes just to keep up with current commitments. Can you imagine that? The way we are spending, we are going to have to double taxes in 30 years. He stated that in 12 years, interest will be the single biggest line item in the entire budget, even assuming interest rates do not change from today's
low rates. But they are going to go up. Everybody knows that. Some are predicting the kinds of interest rates we had in the late 1970s. I truly hope that does not occur, but many people believe we do not have any idea how high interest rates could surge when the whole world, including Europe and other places, is spending money it does not have and attempting to borrow in the marketplace to have that happen. Mr. Walker also said that deficits are the public's largest concern by 20 points, in opinion polls.
In a Financial Times editorial in May of last year, Mr. Walker warned that the United States is in danger of losing its triple-A credit rating. Moody's made that clear. Moody's stated that the United States is in danger of losing its triple-A credit rating. Pierre Cailleteau, the chief economist at Moody's, stated that, unlike several years ago, ``Now the question of a potential downgrade of the U.S. is not inconceivable.'' Under the most pessimistic scenario put forth by Moody's, the United States could lose its top rating in 2013--3 years from now.
I was very pleased we had strong bipartisan support for the amendment previously. By allowing us not to apply these budget limits we passed last year to the current year, it gives some relief to our Members of the Senate who complain that next year we will start cutting spending but we should not this year. We will give a little bit there, although it will mean we will not save as much money for sure. But I really believe we need to pass this legislation. I truly hope we can. We only need three or four more votes to make it a reality. I count now, with the ones who voted for it before and a new Senator in the body, we will have 57 votes. We need 60. The situation has not gotten any better, and I am hoping my colleagues will look at it afresh and that we might be able to reach that number. It will make a difference. It made a difference in the 1990s and led to an actual surplus. I believe it could help us again this time. We have much more serious problems this time. We have more challenges this time. But it could make a very significant difference in our spending level. It would really be a statement to the entire financial world that we are beginning to take some steps and that next year we are not going to have 12 percent increases in spending for discretionary accounts but we are going to hold it to the 1- or 2-percent increase level. I think that might have some psychological improvement in our entire financial condition.
I apologize to the fine chairman of the Finance Committee for taking this long, but I really believe it is an important issue. I am so hopeful we are getting close to getting the votes to take this positive step.
I yield the floor.
Mr. President, did the Senator make a budget point of order?
I thank the Senator.