National Defense Authorization Act For Fiscal Year 2010--Conference Report
Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order for the quorum call be rescinded. Mr. President, I rise to speak about one of the most significant issues we have confronting us as a nation, our rising deficits and debt. At the end of…
Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order for the quorum call be rescinded.
Mr. President, I rise to speak about one of the most significant issues we have confronting us as a nation, our rising deficits and debt. At the end of the last fiscal year, which just concluded at the beginning of October, end of September, we determined we had a $1.4 trillion deficit--$1.4 trillion.
It is projected that we will have trillion-dollar deficits for the next 10 years under the President's budgets as President Obama has brought them forward. Yesterday we had a vote not to do cloture on a bill the administration supported, and which was brought forward here, which would have put another $300 billion onto the Federal debt to pay for what is known as the doctors fix.
The doctors fix is something which should occur. We have done it around here before. We have done it every year for about 8 years; that is, reimbursing doctors at a fair rate rather than having their rates cut. But we have always paid for it.
But yesterday there was an attempt by the leadership on the other side of the aisle to pass a bill which would have not paid for the doctors fix and which would have put $300 billion of new debt onto our children's backs; so that every time somebody walked into a doctor's office and was reimbursed under Medicare, that bill, whether it was for a flu shot or whether it was for serious disease issues, would have been taken and passed directly to our children rather than paid for today, as it should have been. So it was a totally irresponsible act to try to increase the debt by $300 billion in order to take care of the doctors fix. But that was what was attempted. Fortunately that failed. At least as of yesterday it failed.
There was bipartisan appreciation in the Senate. All of the Republicans voted against doing that, and 12 Democrats and 1 Independent voted against doing it, and that was good. That was a good sign to the American people that maybe we are finally taking the deficit and the debt seriously.
The reason I wanted to speak today on this matter is because we are getting some significant warning signs, some flashing yellow lights that are moving from yellow, maybe, to red from the world community that we better do something about our debt and our deficit or the world community is going to react to it.
About 4 months ago now the Chinese, who are the primary owners of our debt--in other words, when we spend $1.4 trillion more than we have in a year like we did last year or we spend $1 trillion more than we have every year for the next 10 years as is being
proposed by the President, we have to get that money from somewhere. We have to borrow it from somebody. Someone has to be willing to lend us that money, that $1 trillion, that $1.4 trillion.
Well, the countries that have that type of money and are willing to lend it to us are countries such as China and Russia and Saudi Arabia. They have surpluses in their economies. They are not running deficits in their governments, so they have surpluses. They have, historically, at least over the last few years, been willing to buy our treasuries, our notes to finance the government operation in the United States.
About 4 months ago the leadership of the Chinese Government said: Well, we are getting a little concerned. We are still going to buy American treasuries. We are still going to help you finance your deficit. But you have to do something about this because we are concerned about the value of what we are buying. We are concerned that those IOUs we are buying from you may not be worth what we are paying for them on face value if you continue to run your deficit that you have.
That was a fairly large warning sign from a country which obviously has not historically been close to us but which is one of our largest trading partners, and which is, whether we like it or not, buying up all of this debt when we run these massive deficits, or a lot of this debt.
Another warning sign came at us when the dollar, which has historically been the reserve currency of the world--in other words, countries hold dollars in order to maintain their own structure of reserves for their countries. The dollar started to be discussed as maybe not the best reserve currency, and there have been a number of rumors and some representations by some Finance Ministers around the world that people might not want to use the dollar any longer as their reserve currency. They may want to use some other currency--maybe the euro or some basket of currencies, maybe the euro, the yen, or maybe just use commodities or maybe use IMF drawing rights, a whole series of different ideas.
What does that reflect? That reflects that people are not too confident in our future ability to maintain and defend the value of the dollar. Why are they not confident about that? Well, they are not confident about it because they are looking at the deficits we are running. They are looking at the debt we are piling up, and they are saying: Hold it. How are you going to pay all of that off? If you put $13, $14, $15, $16 trillion worth of debt on your Nation, if you take your public debt from 38 percent of GDP up to 80 percent of GDP or more, how are you going to pay that off, United States?
That is a legitimate question because there are only a few ways it can be paid off. One of them, unfortunately, is by using inflation, and that devalues the dollar and it devalues all of that debt people have bought. That is why we are hearing more and more that people, first, are worried about using the dollar as their reserve currency because they do not want to see its value drop; and, secondly, they are worried about buying our debt.
So we are getting some serious caution lights from the international community about the fact that we are running these massive deficits and this massive debt. Just yesterday, I think one of the most serious caution lights came out because there are groups in this world, small groups of people--Moody's and Standard & Poor's--who basically look at the currencies and the debt of various nations and they do that also for companies and they rate the debt. The rest of the world's financial activities look at those ratings because they are considered to be of very high caliber and very high standard. They allow people in other places to be able to assess the value of the debt they might want to buy.
So if you want to buy debt from XYZ country, you look at Moody's or Standard, that has taken a hard look at that country's debt, evaluated it, and they will tell you whether it is rated AAA, AA, A. That determines how much it is going to cost a country to lend to you. That will determine the amount of interest rate on that debt because if it is not AAA, which is the best rated debt, then people are going to be less likely to invest in it. If they do invest in it, they are going to want a higher return because they are going to be at bigger risk because they know that debt might not be paid back. If it is paid back, it might be paid back in devalued dollars or devalued currency of that country.
So, historically, American debt, the Treasury note, has been the gold standard for the world. In fact, it is technically the gold standard. Most people use it as the reserve fund. When the world went off the gold standard, the dollar basically became the way people maintained and conserved their assets. They would invest in Treasury notes and know that the treasuries were always safe. It was always determined that Treasury notes were safe because the United States always was going to pay back its debt.
So the United States has always had a AAA rating. That is hugely important to us as a nation. It is hard to appreciate as just an ordinary American going to work every day and trying to make ends meet that the AAA rating of the United States is important to them, but it is. It affects everything in this country that has to do with credit.
If the United States were to lose its AAA rating, all credit would go up, and the costs in this country. It would be much harder to buy a house because the interest rates would be higher. It would be harder to buy a car because the interest rates would be higher. It would be harder to send a child to college because the interest rates would be higher. Everything is tied to the fact that treasuries have AAA ratings. It has always been presumed that they would.
In the post-World War II period, it has always been presumed that the United States, the strongest economy in the world, the most vibrant economy in the world, would always have the gold standard for the debt it issues, that it would always be a AAA-rated event. Well, as a result of our profligate nature as a country and as a Congress, as a result of having run up these massive deficits, we are getting a very large yellow flashing light from the rating agencies.
They are saying this--this was an October 22 news report from Reuters:
The United States, which posted a record deficit in the
last fiscal year, may lose its AAA rating if it does not
reduce the gap to a manageable level in the next 3-4 years.
That is according to Moody's Investors Service.
The AAA rating of the United States is not guaranteed.
Steve Hess, Moody's lead analyst for the United States, said in an interview on Reuters Television:
So if you do not get the deficit down in the next 3-4 years
to a sustainable level, then the rating will be in jeopardy.
Those are words that should make us in the Congress pause because they are directed right at us. The most sophisticated and important evaluator of America's deficit situation and debt, Moody's ratings service, is saying if we as a Congress do not do something within the next 3 to 4 years to bring our debt under control, and our deficits down, we may jeopardize the AAA rating of the United States.
I can think of nothing that would be more irresponsible for a Congress to do to the American people than to jeopardize and put at risk the AAA rating of this country. Maybe only after disarming ourselves in the face of a potential terrorist threat or the use of a weapon of mass destruction, I can think of nothing which would have a larger impact on our populous than for the Congress to put in place fiscal policies which would jeopardize our ability to sell bonds, American debt around the world at a reasonable price, and put at risk the value of the dollar and the status of the dollar as the reserve currency of the world, as a result of putting at risk the AAA rating of our bonds.
That is exactly what we are doing. This gentleman, Mr. Hess, said we have to, within the next 3 or 4 years, put in place a manageable plan, a realistic plan, that will address the deficit and debt of the United States.
Are we doing that now? We are doing just the opposite. Just yesterday this Congress tried to pass $300 billion of new debt for ordinary expenses, for daily expenses of paying doctors. We were going to give an IOU to our children and our grandchildren 5, 10 years from now. Total irresponsibility.
Last week it was the White House suggesting we do the exact same thing in Social Security for $13 billion. A couple of months ago we did the same thing on cash for clunkers for $5 billion. A budget was passed by this Congress, which does it for the whole Nation--it creates $1 trillion of unfunded liability and deficits for the next 10 years every year.
Now we have this health care bill coming at us, which is going to increase the size of the government by $1 to $2 trillion, which is represented that it is paid for, but that is only because they phase in the expenses 4 years after they phase in the income and thus are able to match 10 years of income versus 6 years of expenses. So they claim it is paid for.
When the bill is fully phased in, it will not be paid for. It is going to be a huge cost to the Federal Government, and even if it were paid for, it would be taking massive resources in the area of Medicare by $400 billion and it is going to raise fees by $500 billion. Instead of using those resources to reduce the debt, it will use them to create a brand new major entitlement at a time when we have on the books entitlements which we can't afford today.
Medicare has a $34 trillion unfunded liability. Yet we will add a new major entitlement on top of Medicare and Medicaid, and we will pay for part of it by cutting Medicare. Still, instead of cutting Medicare for the purposes of paying for that, we should be using Medicare savings for the purposes of making Medicare solvent. We should not be growing the government. We are going to do a $1 to $2 trillion increase in the size of government. I will absolutely guarantee that that will not be fully paid for and that a large percentage of that will go to our debt.
On top of having deficits which are already projected to be a trillion dollars a year for the next 10 years, we are seeing a Congress which is being incredibly spendthrift in its approach to all sorts of areas: $300 billion to pay doctors, new debt; and who knows how much out of this health care bill. I am willing to bet the family farm that it will be well over a trillion dollars of new debt when it is fully phased in; new programs in the area of Social Security, which is already bankrupt, unpaid for, added to the debt; new programs for this favorite group, cash for clunkers or whatever the issue is of the day. We are totally out of control on the spending side of the ledger.
It is not a revenue issue. It is a spending issue. Revenues have historically been about 19 percent of GDP. Spending has been about 20 percent of GDP. But under the budget which we have been given, independent of the health care bill, spending goes from 20 percent of GDP up to 23 percent. And when we throw in this health care bill, we are heading toward 24, 25 percent of GDP. Revenues, if they maintain their historic levels once the recession is over, go back to 19 percent of GDP, but we still have a 6 to 7-percent gap because spending has gone up so much.
I appreciate the fact that this administration comes with a philosophy--and they won the election--that we create prosperity by growing the government. The President said that. People around him said that. Members on the other side of the aisle say that. We create prosperity by growing the government. But we don't create prosperity if we let the government grow so fast that it can't be paid for. Government cannot be allowed to grow any faster than it can be paid for. In my opinion, prosperity doesn't come from the government to begin with. Prosperity comes from entrepreneurs who are willing to create risks and create jobs. Independent of that philosophical debate, the simple fact is, if we allow government to grow a lot faster than we have the capacity to pay for it, we create debt. It is that debt and these independent people looking at that debt who are giving us these massive caution lights and saying: Slow down, get your house in order.
People who are buying our debt around the world are saying it. People who use the dollar as reserve currency around the world are saying it. And now Moody's, the clear, independent arbiter of what the value of debt is and what its likelihood of repayment is, is saying it in the most stark way. The AAA rating of the United States is not guaranteed, Steve Hess of Moody's, said. So if they don't get the deficit down in the next 3 to 4 years to a sustainable level, the rating will be in jeopardy.
We need to heed those words. We need to get some discipline around here, and we need to stop having proposals which dramatically increase the size of the government and continue to put us on a path where we pass debt on to our children which will cause them to have a much lower standard of living than we had and which will cause them to be unable to send their children to college, to buy their first home and afford a car, because they will be confronting a nation where the debt is absorbing so much of the productivity of the economy or where inflation has basically priced them out of the markets.
I yield the floor.