Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order for the quorum call be rescinded. Mr. President, I take it the parliamentary situation is such that it is in order for me to now be recognized? I thank the Chair. Mr. President, at the…
Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order for the quorum call be rescinded.
Mr. President, I take it the parliamentary situation is such that it is in order for me to now be recognized?
I thank the Chair.
Mr. President, at the very outset, let me say I have closely followed Senator Conrad's remarks on the budget. It is something I have done each year he has
served as the ranking member on the Budget Committee. As always, I found his presentation to be both clear and insightful. For anyone who cares deeply about fiscal responsibility, as he does, the picture he has painted of America's fiscal condition is deeply troubling. I express my own deep appreciation to Senator Conrad, as I think people all across the country should do, for seeking to focus attention on this important problem.
Day by day, we have different issues which grab the headlines and the public's attention, but, meanwhile, this deteriorating situation of America moving further and further down into a fiscal box goes on. The implications of that are very far reaching.
Senator Conrad has sought to call our attention to that, to focus our attention upon it, and to make us come to grips with this challenge. I commend him for what I think has been a very important public service.
As we set out to consider the budget for fiscal year 2007, I think it is necessary for all of us to recognize the budget resolution is, in a very basic sense, the most important document we will deal with in this Congress.
The budget contains within it literally hundreds and hundreds of decisions that are critical to our national life. Each time it comes before us, it puts to us the questions: What are our values? What are our priorities? What are we trying to accomplish as a society?
It is within the budget that we set our priorities. We make these judgments: how much of our resources to commit, how much to raise through the taxing system, how large a deficit to run. All of these are very basic questions, and the priorities set among these programs determine the direction of our national life.
Now, I think in order to judge the current budget and to develop some informed and responsible answers, we need to place that budget in the fiscal and economic context in which the Nation now finds itself.
You do not need a very long memory to recall that a few short years ago, under President Clinton, as he was moving through his second term, after we, the President and the majority in Congress, had made some very hard choices on taxes and spending, restraining spending and raising some taxes, primarily on upper-income people--we were able to turn around the Nation's fiscal status.
In 1998, the Federal Government reported its first surplus in the budget since the 1960s. When President Bush took office, we were in our third straight year of a surplus in the Federal budget, and we were projecting surpluses over the next 10 years of $5.6 trillion--five and a half trillion dollars in surpluses projected over a 10-year period.
Obviously, this was a pretty healthy position to be in. It would have, of course, allowed the Nation to pay down the large national debt that had been accumulated as we moved through the 1980s and into the 1990s. But in what I predict history will write as a gross irresponsibility, President Bush, in effect, squandered the projected surpluses by instituting irresponsible and reckless tax cuts--tax cuts whose overwhelming beneficiaries were those at the very top of the income and wealth scale. These were not broad-based tax cuts. These were tax cuts whose benefits, upon analysis, were seen to be focused very much on the top few percent of the income scale.
When the President submitted his first budget proposal, he asserted:
We can proceed with tax relief without fear of budget
deficits, even if the economy softens.
``We can proceed with tax relief without fear of budget deficits, even if the economy softens.''
The following year, with a budget already in deficit, the President advocated for yet another tax cut--yet another--promising that ``our budget will run a deficit that will be small and short term.'' In fact, the President's budget that year, 2002, stated the deficits would be so short term that today--as he was looking ahead--the Government would be back in surplus.
Now, let's look at what has happened. Exactly the opposite of what the President predicted has happened. Under the irresponsible fiscal policy that this President has pursued, we have run deficits each and every year since 2001.
In 2002, the deficit was $158 billion. President Bush inherited a surplus in 2001 of $128 billion. The three previous years had had surpluses as well, and then there was a $158 billion deficit in 2002. The deficit rose to $378 billion in 2003, rose again in 2004 to $413 billion, fell slightly in 2005 to $319 billion, and is now projected to go back up again in 2006 to $371 billion. Far from being small and short term, these deficits are at record levels.
This chart shows the deterioration in the Nation's fiscal position over the last 35 years. As we see, the budget went into the red more and more and more. In fact, in 1992, we had the previous record deficit of $289 billion. Then there were the years I referred to when we came out of deficit and ran a surplus. Now we have dived back into deficit, thanks primarily to the excessive tax cut and other factors, including the slowing of the economy and the involvement in Iraq. We ran a record deficit in 2004 of $413 billion. What an extraordinary deterioration in fiscal position to go from here to there.
The deficits would be even larger if we were not using the Social Security trust fund each year to mask the cost of the President's policies. When we do a unified budget, we include in it any surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust fund, and the Social Security trust fund has been running a positive balance. That offsets the picture of the deficits, but it is not a totally accurate picture.
The President has submitted a budget this year that would cause our Nation's fiscal health to continue to deteriorate. Regrettably, the President's budget does not even tell the whole story. It fails to account for very significant and substantial obligations overseas and for significant and substantial obligations at home. I want to give two examples of that. There are others. We could develop a longer list. But for purposes of illustration in terms of dealing with a budget that is not fully transparent and fully accountable, I will give two examples.
From the very start of the war in Iraq, the administration has not reflected its true cost in the budget and in the budget submissions. In retrospect, one is given pause by the fact that the very day the bombing started on Baghdad in March of 2003, we were debating the budget resolution on the floor of the Senate--3 years ago.
Of course, since the war had just started at that time, the budget resolution before us did not contain funding for that war. Instead, the President came along and submitted a request for an emergency supplemental appropriation to cover the initial war cost. That is not out of the ordinary. The budget had been submitted. The war had not been started. The money was not included for the war. I noted at the time that the money requested in the emergency supplemental appropriations was clearly only a downpayment and that much more would be needed to cover the full cost of the war and of the reconstruction. I am frank to say to my colleagues, I fully expected that the President would include those costs in his next budget submission. In other words, I expected that, having now become involved, the costs of that involvement would be reflected in subsequent budget submissions, and yet the President's budgets in fiscal year 2005 and fiscal year 2006 did not include a single cent for the ongoing cost of operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. Instead, the President continued to ask for funding for Iraq and Afghanistan outside of the regular budget process.
This year the President has included a placeholder of $50 billion in his budget. Even for the administration, after 2 years of not recognizing these costs, it finally hit home that they had to do something. So they put, as it were, a placeholder of $50 billion in the budget that was submitted, when everyone knows that significantly more than that figure will be needed. This is not responsible budgeting. The President is refusing to own up to the true cost of his policies.
Let me turn to a domestic issue which is not fully reflected in the budget but, again, as we know, is going to happen. That is the cost of fixing the alternative minimum tax. This tax was put in place as part of our Tax Code in order to require that very wealthy people, who are using various exemptions and deductions in the Tax Code to avoid paying any taxes at all, would
pay at least a certain amount of tax. It was an effort to assure some equity and fairness in the workings of the tax system. What has happened is that the threshold levels of the alternative minimum tax have not been adjusted for inflation. As a consequence, this tax is beginning to affect middle-class Americans to whom it was never intended to apply. We have adjusted it in previous years. It is clear it will need to be adjusted again at a significant cost. But those costs are not reflected in the budget the President has submitted to us.
When these two items are taken into account, plus the deficits the President is projecting on the basis of his revenue and spending programs, we are now projecting a 10-year deficit of $3.5 trillion. Think about that. When the President came into office we were projecting a surplus over 10 years of $5.6 trillion. Now we are projecting a $3.5 trillion deficit. This is a deterioration in fiscal position of over $9 trillion. Because of these annual budget deficits, which we are running and are projected to continue to run, the debt of the country is projected to explode. It is now projected to rise to $11.8 trillion, almost $12 trillion, in gross Federal debt by the year 2011.
Look at this incredible runup in debt that has happened since 2001. We have moved up in an escalating way. We are at $8.6 trillion in 2006. We are projected to go to almost $12 trillion by 2011. Net interest payments on this debt are expected to consume more than $1 trillion over the next 5 years. These are just the interest payments on the debt. Each dollar that we pay in interest is one less dollar that we can invest in key areas that will help to keep our economy competitive in the future. We face a global competition. Other nations are investing in workforce training, physical infrastructure, transportation networks, research and development. If we fail to rise to that competitive challenge, we are going to fall behind, not move ahead.
These debt figures, some say, are just numbers. It is hard to get your imagination around $12 trillion in debt. But these numbers all reflect real obligations. These will have to be paid off by the next generation and the generation after them through higher taxes and a reduced standard of living. As the New York Times put it in an editorial entitled ``The Pain That is Yet to Come'':
America cannot escape the consequences of its debt
indefinitely. The effects may be sudden or gradual, but
either way they mean a weaker economy than would otherwise be
the case.
This debt has another troubling aspect to it as well. We are financing this deficit by mortgaging our financial future to foreign lenders. The United States, in roughly a quarter of a century, has gone from being the world's largest creditor nation to being the world's largest debtor nation. In my view, there is a basic contradiction between being the world's largest debtor nation and asserting a role as the world's leading nation.
Our international deficit, called our current account deficit, was nearly $800 billion last year, over 7 percent of our Nation's gross domestic product. In effect, we rely on over $2 billion of foreign inflow into the country each and every day. Warren Buffett was recently quoted as saying:
Right now the rest of the world owns 3 trillion more of us
than we own of them. In my view it will create political
turmoil at some point. Pretty soon I think there will be a
big adjustment.
This large adjustment could come in the form of higher interest rates here at home, a sudden crash in the value of the dollar or a sharp drop in our stock and bond markets. We don't know exactly what will happen because we are not in control of our own economy. Much of that control is in the hands of others overseas.
As Blanche DuBois said in Tennessee Williams' play, ``A Streetcar Named Desire'':
We have become utterly dependent on the kindness of
strangers.
``Utterly dependent on the kindness of strangers.'' Obviously, this situation should raise serious concerns about our ability to conduct our foreign policy in the future if we are constrained and limited by the need to keep our creditors willing to lend us money.
Regrettably, in the budget plan submitted this year, the President offers no solution to bringing this national debt under control. In fact, the President is calling for the permanent extension of his tax cuts for the wealthy at a cost of trillions of dollars.
I didn't agree with the President's tax plan in the days in which we had a budget surplus. I felt then it was too large, too heavily weighted toward the wealthy. Some argued--and I thought it had some logic to it--for a short-term targeted tax cut aimed primarily to middle- and working-class Americans and, at the same time, using the surplus to pay down our debt. In other words, to do a combination of those things.
What I opposed and did not understand was the very excessive tax cuts the President put forward then and his continued support today for tax cuts in times of war and enormous budget deficits.
We keep moving along year to year in this way, and we make these budget decisions, and then we go on to other business, but all the time these policies are working to drive us deeper into debt. As I said, much of this debt is held by foreign lenders, and that amount is growing all the time.
At the end of fiscal year 2001, 31 percent of the outstanding Federal Government debt was held by foreign lenders. Over the succeeding 4 years, borrowing from abroad accounted for more than 80 percent of the increase in our Government debt. So we have seen the debt rise and the portion of the debt held by foreign lenders, in percentage terms, rise at a much more rapid rate.
If foreign lenders continue to buy 80 percent of new Federal debt, the Federal Government will owe more than half of the debt to foreign lenders by 2011. That is equivalent to almost 25 percent of our expected gross domestic product. Think of the leverage we are placing in the hands of foreign lenders. And a shift has also occurred from private to Government lenders with respect to where those funds are coming from.
Regrettably, the President's budget also cuts substantially a number of programs designed to help working and middle-income people in this country. For example, Federal education funding has been cut by the largest amount in the 26-year history of the Department of Education. These cuts come at a time when tuition and fee increases have placed college education out of reach for many students. Since 2000, tuition and fees have increased almost 60 percent for public 4-year colleges and 32 percent for private 4-year colleges.
The budget for the Department of Housing and Urban Development is, once again, marked by cuts in programs that provide housing services and a healthy home environment for millions of American households. The President has proposed a 20-percent cut in community development block grants, a 25-percent cut in elderly housing, a 50-percent cut in housing for the disabled, and despite everyone's recognition of the essential services provided by our police and firefighters--everyone waxes eloquently about our first responders--the budget proposes to cut funding for community police by close to $400 million and to cut the fire programs by more than half.
Let me try to put this in a little bit of context in terms of the choices being made with respect to priorities.
In fiscal year 2007, the benefit of the President's tax cuts for millionaires, those with incomes over $1 million, will total $41.3 billion. That is the benefit for millionaires resulting from those tax cuts.
I mentioned cuts in education, housing, police, and fire. We could fund all of those programs that I listed--in other words, bring them back up to the current levels--for less than 10 percent of the benefits flowing from that tax cut for millionaires--less than 10 percent. I am not supportive of the bulk of that tax cut. I think it was giving much to those who already had more when we had other pressing needs facing us. But just 10 percent of it would bring education, housing, fire, and police back up to current base levels.
What does it say about our priorities as a nation that we are placing these tax cuts for people at the very top ahead of investments in these programs?
What is said, of course, is: We can't do the programs because we have a deficit. The public needs to ask: Why do we have this deficit? And the reason we
have it is because of the tax cuts. So in terms of setting priorities, the tax cuts were given a higher priority than investments in education or in housing or in stronger police and fire, and I could go through the rest of the budget reflecting the same decisions and the same choice in terms of priorities.
I could develop that list at some length, but let me conclude with one last point. I think the American people have a strong sense of fairness and equity. There have been a number of events during the course of this administration which have underscored the necessity to come together as a nation with this sense of fairness and equity--the attacks of 9/11, the war in Afghanistan and then in Iraq, the devastation of Hurricane Katrina, most prominent among them. But to move ahead, we must share the burden, and, unfortunately, the President's budget continues to favor the very wealthy. They are not carrying the burden. In fact, they are being relieved of some of the burden through the tax cuts while leaving the majority of Americans to carry the burden.
So as we move forward with this budget process, we need to ask ourselves: What are our priorities as a nation? In my judgment, the President's budget does not reflect the values of the American people. It is neither fair nor responsible. While some changes were made in the Budget Committee, I still think it basically reflects the policies submitted to us by the President which I think are not fair, not responsible, and I urge my colleagues to reject the budget resolution.
Mr. President, I know Senator Feingold is here on the floor and would like to be recognized for up to 25 minutes.
I ask unanimous consent for that.
Mr. President, I understand this has not been discussed with the minority leader, this proposal for a vote, and I would therefore object.
I would respectfully request of the leader that he should have a discussion with the minority leader before seeking to set the agenda.
Mr. President, I object for the same reason. I think the majority leader should have a responsible discussion with the minority leader before setting the agenda of the Senate. It should be an elemental courtesy in the conduct of the Senate's business.
I understand, Mr. President, this is off the resolution; is that right?
I think an agreement was reached that it would be off the resolution and count toward the time on the resolution.
Only that the 25 minutes that Senator Feingold is going to use will come off the resolution.