S.Amdt. 588

SA 588. Mr. MARKEY (for himself, Mrs. Feinstein, Mr. Van Hollen, and
Mrs. Gillibrand) submitted an amendment intended to be proposed by him
to the bill S. 1790, to authorize appropriations for fiscal year 2020
for military activities of the Department of Defense, for military
construction, and for defense activities of the Department of Energy,
to prescribe military personnel strengths for such fiscal year, and for
other purposes; which was ordered to lie on the table; as follows:

At the appropriate place in title XII, insert the
following:

SEC. __. NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE REGARDING IMPACT OF A
LAPSE IN INSPECTIONS REGIMES UNDER THE NEW
START TREATY.

(a) In General.--Not later than 180 days after the date of
the enactment of this Act, the Director of National
Intelligence shall submit to the appropriate congressional
committees a National Intelligence Estimate, consisting of an
unclassified executive summary and judgments and a more
detailed, classified report on the Russian Federation's
compliance with the New START Treaty and the impact to the
intelligence collection capabilities of the United States if
the New START Treaty and its related information exchanges
and associated inspections regimes were to lapse. The
unclassified executive summary shall be released to the
public and shall, to the extent practicable, address each of
the report elements set forth in subsection (b).
(b) Report Elements.--The report required under subsection
(a) shall include the following elements:
(1) A description of the Russian Federation's compliance
with the New START Treaty.
(2) An assessment of the Russian Federation's intentions
with regard to extending the New START Treaty.
(3) A description of the intelligence collection benefits
gained as a result of the ratification and implementation of
the New START Treaty.
(4) An assessment of what specific capabilities the United
States intelligence community would have to develop and
deploy to ensure that no loss of collection capability would
occur in the event of the lapse of the New START Treaty,
including a description of--

[[Page S3594]]

(A) what intelligence insights, if any, the intelligence
community would lose and would not be replaceable if the New
START Treaty were to lapse; and
(B) the measures the intelligence community would need to
take to account for any lost capabilities, including the cost
to replace any lost capabilities, and the time to replace
lost capabilities.
(5) A cost estimate and estimated timeline for developing
these new or additional capabilities, and a description of
how new intelligence gathering requirements related to the
Russian Federation's nuclear forces may affect other United
States intelligence gathering needs.
(6) An assessment of projections for Russian Federation
nuclear and non-nuclear force size, structure, and
composition with the New START Treaty limitations in place
and without the limitations in place.
(7) An assessment of Russian Federation actions,
intentions, and likely responses to the United States
withdrawing from, suspending its obligations under, or
allowing to lapse the New START Treaty and subsequently
developing platforms and weapons beyond the New START
Treaty's limitations.
(c) Briefings.--The Director of National Intelligence shall
brief the appropriate congressional committees on the
elements set forth in subsection (a) when the National
Intelligence Estimate is submitted.
(d) Definitions.--In this section--
(1) The term ``appropriate congressional committees''
means--
(A) the Committee on Foreign Relations, the Committee on
Armed Services, the Select Committee on Intelligence, and the
Committee on Appropriations of the Senate; and
(B) the Committee on Foreign Affairs, the Committee on
Armed Services, the Permanent Select Committee on
Intelligence, and the Committee on Appropriations of the
House of Representatives.
(2) New start treaty.--The term ``New START Treaty'' means
the Treaty between the United States of America and the
Russian Federation on Measures for the Further Reduction and
Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms, signed April 8, 2010,
and entered into force February 5, 2011.
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