Article From Today'S Financial Times Entitled, ``China To Overtake U.S. As Top Economic Power This Year''
Mr. Speaker, I would like to submit the following article from today's Financial Times entitled, ``China To overtake U.S. as top economic power this year''. [From Financial Times, Apr. 30, 2014] China To Overtake US as Top Economic Power…
Mr. Speaker, I would like to submit the following article from today's Financial Times entitled, ``China To overtake U.S. as top economic power this year''.
[From Financial Times, Apr. 30, 2014]
China To Overtake US as Top Economic Power This Year
(By Chris Giles)
The US is on the brink of losing its status as the world's
largest economy and is likely to slip behind China this year,
sooner than widely expected, to the world's leading
statistical agencies.
The US has been the global leader since overtaking the UK
in 1872. Most economists previously thought China would pull
ahead in 2019.
The data, compiled by the International Comparison
Programme hosted by the World Bank, and to be released today,
are the most authoritative estimates of what money can buy in
different countries and are used by most public and private
sector organisations, such as the International Monetary
Fund. This is the first time they have been updated since
2005.
After extensive research on the prices of goods and
services the ICP concluded that money goes further in poorer
countries than previously thought, prompting it to increase
the relative size of emerging market economies.
The estimates of the real cost of living, known as
purchasing power parity, or PPPs, are recognised as the best
way to compare the size of economies rather than using
volatile exchange rates, which rarely reflect the true cost
of goods and services: on this measure the IMF put US GDP in
2012 at $16.2tn, and China's at $8.2tn.
In 2005, the ICP thought that China's economy was less than
half the size of the US, accounting for only 43 per cent of
America's total. Using the new methodology--and reflecting
the fact that China's economy has grown much more quickly--
the research placed China's GDP at 87 per cent of the US in
2011.
For 2011, the report says: ``The US remained the world's
largest economy, but it was closely followed by China when
measured using PPPs''.
With the IMF expecting China's economy to have grown 24 per
cent between 2011 and 2014 while the US is expected to expand
only 7.6 per cent, China is likely to overtake the US this
year.
The figures revolutionise the picture of the world's
economic landscape, boosting the importance of large middle-
income countries. India becomes the third-largest economy
having previously been in 10th place. The size of its economy
almost doubled from 19 per cent of the US in 2005 to 37 per
cent in 2011.
Russia, Brazil, Indonesia and Mexico make the top 12 in the
global table. In contrast, high costs and lower growth push
the UK and Japan further behind the US than in the 2005
tables while Germany improved its relative position a little
and Italy remained the same.
The findings will intensify arguments about control over
global international organisations such as the World Bank and
IMF, which are increasingly out of line with the balance of
global economic power.
When looking at the actual consumption per head, the report
found the new methodology together with faster growth in poor
countries have ``greatly reduced'' the gap between rich and
poor, ``suggesting that the world has become more equal''.
The world's rich countries still account for 50 per cent of
global GDP while containing only 17 per cent of the world's
population.
Having compared the cost of living in different countries,
the report also found that the four most expensive countries
to live in are: Switzerland, Norway, Bermuda and Australia,
with the cheapest Egypt, Pakistan, Myanmar and Ethiopia.