Mr. Speaker, on March 26, 2012, I introduced H.R. 4258, the Republic of Georgia Democracy Act of 2012. I introduced this bill in response to the growing acts of repression by the Government of Georgia against the Democratic opposition…
Mr. Speaker, on March 26, 2012, I introduced H.R. 4258, the Republic of Georgia Democracy Act of 2012. I introduced this bill in response to the growing acts of repression by the Government of Georgia against the Democratic opposition there in the run-up to the October 2012 parliamentary election.
After reviewing reports from the region and meeting with members of the opposition, I became worried that the parliamentary election would be viewed as illegitimate if the situation did not change.
I offered H.R. 4258, which threatened termination of the tens of millions of dollars the United States gives Georgia each year in assistance--including millions for democracy promotion--in the event of illegitimate elections, in an attempt to demonstrate to the ruling regime the cost of stealing the election.
I regret to report that the situation is getting worse.
The United Nations, Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), and the European Union have all raised concern. Even Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has publically called for free, fair, and competitive elections, but the Georgian government does not seem to be listening.
For more than two decades, successive administrations and my colleagues in Congress have worked hard to expand democracy in the post-Soviet world. We did so believing that the former Soviet states would be more stable and more economically prosperous if governments were more responsive to the will of the people.
This is especially true in Georgia, where the United States has invested considerable financial resources and political capital in an attempt to create a model democracy in a complex region.
These investments are now at risk. The Georgian government is succeeding in creating an atmosphere of intimidation and fear, handicapping the opposition's ability to operate and access the media and voters, and taking steps to ensure victory before election day.
The United States can ill afford to stand aside and watch democracy in Georgia unravel.
If another round of illegitimate elections occurs, there will be more instability, including the possibility of peaceful protests and a violent government response, which has been the historic norm.
This would threaten key American interests, including democracy promotion, energy security, stability in the Caucasus, relations with Russia, and operations in Afghanistan.
I have included a recent article that highlights the Georgian government's efforts to repress the democratic opposition. The article from the Economist notes that only 38% of Georgians think their country is a democracy and that this election could be on course to a political crisis.
If things continue on their current track, there are few scenarios where this election will be seen as legitimate.
The United States should take steps now to prevent a potential political crisis that would arise just before the U.S. presidential election. I would encourage the Obama Administration and my colleagues to communicate clearly to the Georgian government the importance of free, fair, and competitive elections and that Georgia's relationship with the United States cannot survive a stolen election or subversion of democratic principles.
Like a canary in the coal mine, I will do my best to continue to warn my colleagues of this looming disaster and provide regular updates. I hope the United States acts before it is too late.
[From the Economist, Jul. 13, 2012]
Georgian Politics--Blood Feud
(by G.E. Tbilisi)
Georgian democracy in trouble? The government claims that
the ``Russian-influenced opposition'' could subvert Georgia's
parliamentary elections in October this year. In contrast,
Bidzina Ivanishvili, the founder of Georgian Dream, an
opposition party, complains of systematic discrimination at
the hands of an increasingly authoritarian regime. New
polling results show that only 38% of Georgians think
that Georgia is now a democracy, compared with 49% in
February.
Georgians may have too pessimistic a view of their own
country. As a recent pre-electoral assessment from the
National Democratic Institute (NDI) points out, Georgia has
implemented several key democratic reforms in recent years.
New institutions ensure the accuracy of the voters' list or
regulate party financing. Amendments to the electoral code in
late 2011 and early 2012 introduced a raft of positive
changes although the failure to redraw electoral districts
(which range from 6,000 to 158,000 voters) means some votes
are worth less than others. Recent ``must carry'' provisions
will improve opposition parties' access to the media by
obliging cable providers to transmit all television channels
with news programmes during the sixty-day campaign period. In
all, the ``2012 electoral process is more formalised and
regulated compared to past elections'', the NDI concludes.
Even so, the dark side of Georgian politics, which Thomas
de Waal has likened to ``a blood feud'', has been all too
evident since Mr. Ivanishvili entered politics in October
last year. Georgia's richest man remains without Georgian
citizenship, an absurd situation of which most of his
compatriots disapprove; the sooner that is resolved, the
better. The Chamber of Control stands accused of levying
disproportionate fines on the Georgian Dream movement, which
Mr. Ivanishvili has refused to pay. (It has responded by
seizing some of his assets). And before Parliament adopted
the must carry provisions, Channel 9, a new television
station co-owned by Mr. Ivanishvili's wife, and Global TV,
the only broadcaster that carried it, suffered from almost
continuous harassment.
Both sides continue to vilify each other, complaining of
harassment, improper campaign spending, attempted bribery of
state officials and abuse of administrative resources. A
debate in the European Parliament on 4th July about Georgian
politics reached similar extremes. As punch-ups during
Georgian Dream campaign meetings in the central Georgian
villages of Mereti on 26th June and Kareleti on 12th July
suggest, it could get nastier still.
Yet Mr. Ivanishvili's political awakening has also awoken
Georgian voters. Huge, peaceful rallies have taken place
across the country, far beyond anything seen in recent years.
Many more Georgians (75%) now plan to vote in October's
elections than intended to so in September last year (51%),
polls show. And the political debate is increasingly focused
on issues that matter to ordinary Georgians, not just
personalities.
Georgian Dream unveiled some of their plans in May: cutting
utility costs, investing in agriculture, free universal
health-insurance and increased pensions. Vano Merabishvili,
the former interior minister who became prime minister in
late June, announced the government's four-year post-election
programme shortly after taking office. He too wants to boost
pensions, provide universal health-insurance, and invest in
agriculture. Mr. Merabishvili has also set up a new ministry
to tackle unemployment (roughly 34% of Georgians say they are
unemployed, compared with an official rate unemployment rate
of 16%), and promises to provide each family with vouchers
worth $600.
Does Mr. Merabishvili's appointment indicate that Mikheil
Saakashvili, the president, is unlikely to become prime
minister once his term in office expires in early 2013? As
one of the few big beasts of Georgian politics, Mr.
Merabishvili would certainly be hard to shove aside. At any
rate, slightly more Georgians would oppose such a job-swap a
la Putin than would approve of it.
Reassuringly, 55% of Georgians surveyed think the elections
will be well conducted, and only 21% fear falsification. But
there is little room for complacency. Mr. Ivanishvili has
said that if he has any evidence of vote-rigging by the
authorities, he will call for street protests. For most
foreign observers, and many Georgians, that would be a step
backwards. Yet 27% of those polled say he would be justified
in doing so. Come October, that sentiment could matter.
While most Georgians are focused on who will win, Georgia's
allies say the credibility of the electoral process is key.
As the NDI states, ``further development of democratic
institutions and practices offer the best chance for western
integration and for long-term prosperity and stability.''
With the political temperature likely to rise further in
coming months, Georgia's politicians would do well to bear
that in mind. Will they?