Mr. Speaker, when the President arrived in Australia the other day, he told the prime minister, quote, ``We're kicking ass'' in Iraq. It is a clear sign that he intends to keep a massive U.S. military force in Iraq as long as he remains in…
Mr. Speaker, when the President arrived in Australia the other day, he told the prime minister, quote, ``We're kicking ass'' in Iraq. It is a clear sign that he intends to keep a massive U.S. military force in Iraq as long as he remains in office. And he will make it official administration policy next week. ``We're Kicking Ass in Iraq'' might be the headline of the report the White House is writing for General Petraeus to deliver to the Congress next week.
It is supposed to be an objective military assessment, but the President has declared it will be a White House spin document, as usual. Here's what the President's ``kick ass'' assessment translates to on the ground: 10 U.S. soldiers killed this week; 793 U.S. soldiers killed so far this year; 3,752 U.S. soldiers killed since the beginning of the war; and 27,186 U.S. soldiers wounded since the beginning of the war. And, 71,000 documented Iraq civilian deaths since the beginning of the war, although the actual number is much higher.
As the Times of India newspaper said today, Iraq is getting worse day after day after day. We don't even know how bad things really are.
The ACLU filed a lawsuit the other day demanding the U.S. release military documents concerning the number of innocent civilians killed by the U.S. forces. They fear the government is hiding the human cost of war. We don't know, but reliable information does exist.
There is plenty of factual information for the President to rely on, but he won't. An independent commission of retired U.S. generals released a report today that concludes that the Iraqi national police force is so corrupt the force should be disbanded. These U.S. military experts concluded that Iraq's Army over the next 18 months, ``Cannot yet meaningfully contribute to denying terrorists safe haven.''
The GAO released its own independent study showing the Iraq Government has reached only three of the 18 benchmarks established as part of the U.S. continuing to fund the war. In case anyone thinks that achieving three of 18 isn't too bad, let me tell you what they are.
The first benchmark we achieved was passing a law that legally protects the rights of minority parties in Iraq. Except the minority Sunni population remains outside the political situation totally. The other two benchmarks the Iraqi Government achieved was setting up security and public relations offices to support the military escalation. But the White House will use the military brass to paint a much rosier picture next week in its report to the Congress.
Besides the kick-ass assessment by the President, there have been recent reports trying to bolster the administration's position. I enter into the Record at this point a story appearing in today's Washington Post. It's on page 16, but it ought to be on page 1. The headline is: ``Experts Doubt Drop in Violence in Iraq. Military Statistics Called Into Question.'' I urge everyone to read this important news story. The only conclusion one can reach is, here we go again.
[From the Washington Post, Sept. 6, 2007]
Experts Doubt Drop in Violence in Iraq--Military Statistics Called Into
Question
(By Karen DeYoung)
The U.S. military's claim that violence has decreased
sharply in Iraq in recent months has come under scrutiny from
many experts within and outside the government, who contend
that some of the underlying statistics are questionable and
selectively ignore negative trends.
Reductions in violence form the centerpiece of the Bush
administration's claim that its war strategy is working. In
congressional testimony Monday, Army Gen. David H. Petraeus,
the top U.S. commander in Iraq, is expected to cite a 75
percent decrease in sectarian attacks. According to senior
U.S. military officials in Baghdad, overall attacks in Iraq
were down to 960 a week in August, compared with 1,700 a week
in June, and civilian casualties had fallen 17 percent
between December 2006 and last month. Unofficial Iraqi
figures show a similar decrease.
Others who have looked at the full range of U.S. government
statistics on violence, however, accuse the military of
cherry-picking positive indicators and caution that the
numbers--most of which are classified--are often confusing
and contradictory. ``Let's just say that there are several
different sources within the administration on violence, and
those sources do not agree,'' Comptroller General David
Walker told Congress on Tuesday in releasing a new Government
Accountability Office report on Iraq.
Senior U.S. officers in Baghdad disputed the accuracy and
conclusions of the largely negative GAO report, which they
said had adopted a flawed counting methodology used by the
CIA and the Defense Intelligence Agency. Many of those
conclusions were also reflected in last month's pessimistic
National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq.
The intelligence community has its own problems with
military calculations. Intelligence analysts computing
aggregate levels of violence against civilians for the NIE
puzzled over how the military designated attacks as combat,
sectarian or criminal, according to one senior intelligence
official in Washington. ``If a bullet went through the back
of the head, it's sectarian,'' the official said. ``If it
went through the front, it's criminal.''
``Depending on which numbers you pick,'' he said, ``you get
a different outcome.'' Analysts found ``trend lines . . .
going in different directions'' compared with previous years,
when numbers in different categories varied widely but
trended in the same direction. ``It began to look like
spaghetti.''
Among the most worrisome trends cited by the NIE was
escalating warfare between rival Shiite militias in southern
Iraq that has consumed the port city of Basra and resulted
last month in the assassination of two southern provincial
governors. According to a spokesman for the Baghdad
headquarters of the Multi-National Force-Iraq (MNF-I), those
attacks are not included in the military's statistics.
``Given a lack of capability to accurately track Shiite-on-
Shiite and Sunni-on-Sunni violence, except in certain
instances,'' the spokesman said, ``we do not track this data
to any significant degree.''
Attacks by U.S.-allied Sunni tribesmen--recruited to battle
Iraqis allied with al-Qaeda--are also excluded from the U.S.
military's calculation of violence levels.
The administration has not given up trying to demonstrate
that Iraq is moving toward political reconciliation.
Testifying with Petraeus next week, U.S. Ambassador to Iraq
Ryan C. Crocker is expected to report that top Shiite, Sunni
and Kurdish leaders agreed last month to work together on key
legislation demanded by Congress. If all goes as U.S.
officials hope, Crocker will also be able to point to a visit
today to the Sunni stronghold of Anbar province by ministers
in the Shiite-dominated government--perhaps including Prime
Minister Nouri al-Maliki, according to a senior U.S. official
involved in Iraq policy. The ministers plan to hand Anbar's
governor $70 million in new development funds, the official
said.
But most of the administration's case will rest on security
data, according to military, intelligence and diplomatic
officials who would not speak on the record before the
Petraeus-Crocker testimony. Several Republican and Democratic
lawmakers who were offered military statistics during Baghdad
visits in August said they had been convinced that Bush's new
strategy, and the 162,000 troops carrying it out, has
produced enough results to merit more time.
Challenges to how military and intelligence statistics are
tallied and used have been a staple of the Iraq war. In its
December 2006 report, the bipartisan Iraq Study Group
identified ``significant underreporting of violence,'' noting
that ``a murder of an Iraqi is not necessarily counted as an
attack. If we cannot determine the sources of a sectarian
attack, that assault does not make it into the data base.''
The report concluded that ``good policy is difficult to make
when information is systematically collected in a way that
minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals.''
Recent estimates by the media, outside groups and some
government agencies have called the military's findings into
question. The Associated Press last week counted 1,809
civilian deaths in August, making it the highest monthly
total this year, with 27,564 civilians killed overall since
the AP began collecting data in April 2005.
The GAO report found that ``average number of daily attacks
against civilians have remained unchanged from February to
July 2007,'' a conclusion that the military said was skewed
because it did not include dramatic, up-to-date information
from August.
Juan R.I. Cole, a Middle East specialist at the University
of Michigan who is critical of U.S. policy, said that most
independent counts ``do not agree with Pentagon estimates
about drops in civilian deaths.''
In a letter last week to the leadership of both parties, a
group of influential academics and former Clinton
administration officials called on Congress to examine ``the
exact nature and methodology that is being used to track the
security situation in Iraq and specifically the assertions
that sectarian violence is down.''
The controversy centers as much on what is counted--attacks
on civilians vs. attacks on U.S. and Iraqi troops, numbers of
attacks vs. numbers of casualties, sectarian vs. intrasect
battles, daily numbers vs. monthly averages--as on the
numbers themselves.
The military stopped releasing statistics on civilian
deaths in late 2005, saying the news media were taking them
out of context. In an e-mailed response to questions last
weekend, an MNF-I spokesman said that while trends were
favorable, ``exact monthly figures cannot be provided'' for
attacks against civilians or other categories of violence in
2006 or 2007, either in Baghdad or for the country overall.
``MNF-I makes every attempt to ensure it captures the most
comprehensive, accurate, and valid data on civilian and
sectarian deaths,'' the spokesman wrote. ``However, there is
not one central place for data or information. . . . This
means there can be variations when different organizations
examine this information.''
In a follow-up message yesterday, the spokesman said that
the non-release policy had been changed this week but that
the numbers were still being put ``in the right context.''
Attacks labeled ``sectarian'' are among the few statistics
the military has consistently published in recent years,
although the totals are regularly recalculated. The number of
monthly ``sectarian murders and incidents'' in the last six
months of 2006, listed in the Pentagon's quarterly Iraq
report published in June, was substantially higher each month
than in the Pentagon's March report. MNF-I said that
``reports from un-reported/not-yet reported past incidences
as well as clarification/corrections on reports already
received'' are ``likely to contribute to changes.''
When Petraeus told an Australian newspaper last week that
sectarian attacks had decreased 75 percent ``since last
year,'' the statistic was quickly e-mailed to U.S.
journalists in a White House fact sheet. Asked for detail,
MNF-I said that ``last year'' referred to December 2006, when
attacks spiked to more than 1,600.
By March, however--before U.S. troop strength was increased
under Bush's strategy--the number had dropped to 600, only
slightly less than in the same month last year. That is about
where it has remained in 2007, with what MNF-I said was a
slight increase in April and May ``but trending back down in
June-July.''
Petraeus's spokesman, Col. Steven A. Boylan, said he was
certain that Petraeus had made a comparison with December in
the interview with the Australian paper, which did not
publish a direct Petraeus quote. No qualifier appeared in the
White House fact sheet.
When a member of the National Intelligence Council visited
Baghdad this summer to review a draft of the intelligence
estimate on Iraq, Petraeus argued that its negative judgments
did not reflect recent improvements. At least one new
sentence was added to the final version, noting that
``overall attack levels across Iraq have fallen during seven
of the last nine weeks.''
A senior military intelligence official in Baghdad deemed
it ``odd'' that ``marginal'' security improvements were
reflected in an estimate assessing the previous seven months
and projecting the next six to 12 months. He attributed the
change to a desire to provide Petraeus with ammunition for
his congressional testimony.
The intelligence official in Washington, however, described
the Baghdad consultation as standard in the NIE drafting
process and said that the ``new information'' did not change
the estimate's conclusions. The overall assessment was that
the security situation in Iraq since January ``was still
getting worse,'' he said, ``but not as fast.''
We're kicking ass is the kind of assessment you'd hear at a football game, and the PR game is clearly on by this President and his minions. They will claim progress next week and tease the American people with talk of token U.S. troop reductions. But because it's coming from this White
House, the only thing certain about next week is that it will be their latest attempt to try to mislead us into believing there are enough bullets and bombs, money and U.S. blood to prevail in Iraq.
The best military in the world is being run into the ground by this President. That's the only truth the evidence supports. Don't believe anything else. The American people had it right in November, and they still have it right today.
The U.S. must end its occupation. There is no other choice for this country, except to continue to shed the blood of our people and waste the resources of this country in Mr. Bush's failure.