Will the Senator yield for a question? Is the Senator aware the major attack on this legislation will be related to the validity of the entire issue of climate change? Will the Senator yield for a further question? Is he aware there is…
Will the Senator yield for a question?
Is the Senator aware the major attack on this legislation will be related to the validity of the entire issue of climate change?
Will the Senator yield for a further question?
Is he aware there is widespread agreement on the occurrence of global warming and the human source of the observed and predicted changes? To make a long story short, there was a study conducted in 2001 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. A third assessment report represented a collaborative, scientific endeavor involving 700 scientists worldwide, peer-reviewed by another 700 scientists. The Bush administration requested an independent review of the IPCC report by the National Academy of Sciences. Now everybody can shop around for their expert. This is the National Academy of Sciences. The resulting 2001 national research report, which is delegated by the National Academy of Sciences, said the following in their summary, and I will ask my colleague just to comment on this. We need to keep coming back to this and coming back to this and coming back to this during this debate. Again, the National Research Council, an arm of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, says greenhouse gases are accumulating in the Earth's atmosphere as a result of human activities, causing surface air temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures to rise.
Temperatures are, in fact, rising. The changes observed over the last several decades are likely mostly due to human activities, but we cannot rule out that a significant part of these changes is also a reflection of natural variability.
The point is we are going to hear--in fact, in the course of debate we will hear of a couple of scientists whose views were misinterpreted by the Senator from Oklahoma and by the Republican Policy Committee. We have their
rebuttals and we will be going into those. They state--not I state-- that their views were completely distorted. The fact is, the overwhelming body of scientific opinion in America and the world believes that human activity is causing climate change in the world, and that is an irrefutable fact.
The opponents of this can shop around for the scientists of their choice, but the overwhelming majority of scientists say this and every year that evidence becomes more compelling and every year it becomes more of a compelling problem because of the manifestations of it. The manifestations of climate change are occurring, as we see on the west coast of the United States of America.
I ask my friend, won't you hear that the emperor has some beautiful clothes on during this debate; that there are some scientists who will refuse to admit this, who will say that pigs fly and up is down and black is white, but the majority opinion is that of the most respected body in America, the National Academy of Sciences, and they are the ones who come forward with the views that are corroborated by thousands of scientists all over America and the world?
I ask my colleague to comment on that.
Mr. President, I yield myself 2 minutes.
That was a well-written presentation by my colleague from Missouri. Unfortunately, his analysis of the bill is not the bill that is before the Senate. But other than that, it was a pretty convincing case.
Our bill is different from the analysis he provided. In fact, it is significantly different. But even those facts on which we had the previous analysis were incorrect as well. But it was certainly an interesting presentation.
Will the Senator yield for one question?
I have a letter entitled ``The State of Climate Science: October 2003, A Letter from U.S. Scientists''--1,010 scientists from across America. I want to go into it later on, but they say, in summary: The main conclusions of the IPCC and the NRC--that is the National Academy of Sciences--reports remain robust consensus positions, supported by the vast majority of researchers in the fields of climate change and its impacts.
The body of research carried out since the reports were issued tends to strengthen their conclusion, 1,010 scientists.
We will probably hear it again, but they are relying on an analysis of a bill, because it is what was handed out, that is not even before the Senate. I argue to my friends, it is a waste of the Senate's time to argue statistics, as the Senator from Ohio just did, about a bill that is not before us.
If the Senator will yield for a question, I will stand on the floor of the Senate and ask what climate change is doing to future generations of Americans--the fishing industry and the farming and the climate and the forest fires that are taking place in California as we speak. If the Senator will yield for a question, I will stand up--
Mr. President, devastating fires across California fueled by unusual drought conditions have already claimed the lives of 18 people, destroyed nearly 2,000 homes, consumed nearly 600,000 acres roughly the size of Rhode Island, and caused over $2 billion in damages. Glaciers in Glacier National Park have dwindled from 150 more than a century ago to about 35 today. Some scientists estimate that the park will have no glaciers in 30 years. An ice-dammed lake drained recently when the Ward Hunt Ice Shelf, which a century ago rimmed the entire northern coast of Ellesmere Island, broke up along the coast of northeast Canada. NASA has confirmed that part of the Arctic Ocean that remains frozen year-round has been shrinking at a rate of 10 percent per decade since 1980.
We can talk about the impact of the Kyoto Treaty, as Senator Inhofe just did. I call the attention of my colleagues to this picture. Here is the Arctic Sea ice boundary in 1979. There it is today. I am sure that that will be natural causes and have nothing to do with man-made activity, human activities, but the fact is, as the Senator from New York showed, Kilimanjaro is now without snow.
At a conference in Iceland in August, scientists told senior government officials that the Arctic is heating up fast, disclosing disturbing findings from a massive study of polar climate change. Dr. Robert Corell, who heads the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment team, said: If you want to see what will be happening in the rest of the world 25 years from now, just look at what is happening in the Arctic.
Look at what is happening in the Arctic. The destruction of 70 percent of heat-sensitive coral reefs due to increases in water temperatures places reef fisheries in jeopardy, increases coastal damages from hurricanes, and hurts local economies supported by tourism.
Researchers at the University of Texas, Wesleyan University and Stanford University earlier this year reported in the journal Nature that global warming is forcing species around the world, from California starfish to Alpine herbs, to move into new ranges or alter habits that could disrupt ecosystems.
The end result of these changes could be substantial ecological disruption, local losses in wildlife, and even extinction of certain species.
From an article in the July 2003 Journal of Hydrology: The winters in New England are getting shorter. According to U.S. Geological Survey scientists, northern New England winters have receded by 1 or 2 weeks in length over the last 30 years.
The list of what is happening goes on and on.
The chair of the Climate Research Committee of the National Academy of Sciences stated very clearly during an October 1, 2003, hearing before the Commerce Committee: The planet has a fever, and it is time to be taking action.
I caution my colleague from Oklahoma about statements that he attributes to certain members of the scientific community. Specifically, I am referring to two scientists that he referred to before, Dr. Wigley and Dr. Schneider. Dr. Wigley has written to Senators Frist and Daschle about the misrepresentation of his work by Senator Inhofe. He writes a long letter: Senator Inhofe urges that Congress should put stock in scientists who rely on the most objective scientific data. He characterizes me as someone whose credentials cannot be trusted.
Yes, but not to take my time.
Pardon me?
Dr. Wigley was mentioned by the Senator in his statement on the floor.
He goes through several misrepresentations. Perhaps the most serious one, and this is a quote from his letter: the third representation made by Senator Inhofe concerns the observed record of global mean temperature changes over the past 100 years. This data show a warming to about 1940, little change from 1940 to the mid-1970s, and then further warming. Senator Inhofe implies that these changes are inconsistent with the global warming hypothesis and with climate models. This is categorically incorrect. In order to understand these observed changes, it is necessary to consider all likely causal factors, both human-induced and natural. Human-induced factors include the warming effects of greenhouse gases and the cooling effects of sulfate aerosols. Natural factors include changes in the output of the sun, effects of explosive volcanic eruptions like Mount Pinatubo in 1991. When all these factors are considered, models give an expected pattern of 20th century temperature changes that is in remarkable agreement with the observations, and the models clearly show the three phases as noted above, in particular the leveling off, the warming trend over 1940 to 1975, turns out to be explained largely by the cooling effects of sulfate aerosols, temporarily offsetting the warming due to increasing concentration of greenhouse gases, something which was first pointed out in the paper of mine published in Nature in 1989, which has been clearly stated in a subsequent IPCC report. This remarkable agreement shows quite clearly that human factors have been the dominant cause of global scale climate change over the past 50 years, contrary to the assertion by Senator Inhofe that all observed changes are merely manifestations of natural viability.
For his part, Dr. Schneider had the following to say about Senator Inhofe's statement: It is misrepresenting my views to characterize them as even implying that IPCC is exaggerated or failed to describe the state of the science fairly at the time the assessment reports were completed in the year 2000.
So Dr. Wigley and Dr. Schneider take some exception to how their views were characterized on the floor of the Senate.
I want to point out again that the 17,000, or whoever they were, scientists or those who claimed to be scientists--and there are some interesting signatures to that--were in opposition to the United States signing the Kyoto Treaty.
I know that my colleague, the Senator from Connecticut, would like to say a few words, but I again want to read a letter from 1,010 preeminent scientists who write:
Dear Senators Frist and Daschle: Two years have elapsed
since the publication of the reports by the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change and the National Research Council on
the state of the science of climate change and its impacts on
the United States and the rest of the world. As scientists
engaged in research on these subjects, we are writing to
confirm that the main findings of these documents continue to
represent the consensus opinion of the scientific community.
Indeed, these findings have been reinforced rather than
weakened by research reported since the documents were
released. In brief--
And he goes through a number of aspects of it.
I ask unanimous consent that it be printed in the Record.
The letter further states:
Over the course of this century, the Earth is expected to
warm an additional 2.5 to 10.5 degrees Fahrenheit, depending
on future emissions levels and on the climate sensitivity--a
sustained global rate of change exceeding any in the last
10,000 years.
Temperature increases in most areas of the United States
are expected to be considerably higher than these global
means because of our nation's northerly location and large
average distance from the oceans.
Almost all plausible emissions scenarios result in
projected temperatures that continue to increase well beyond
the end of this century, and
Due to the long lifetimes of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere--
Those are the ones that cause no harm in the view of the opponents of this legislation.
the longer emissions increase, the faster they will
ultimately have to be decreased in order to avoid dangerous
interference with the climate system.
Evidence that climate change is already underway includes
the instrumental record, which shows a surface temperature
rise of approximately 1 degree Fahrenheit over the 20th
century, the accelerated sea level rise during that century
relative to the last few thousand years, global retreat of
mountain glaciers, reduction in snow cover extent, earlier
thawing of lake and river ice, the increase in upper air
water vapor over most regions in the past several decades,
and the 0.09 Fahrenheit warming of the world's deep oceans
since the 1950s.
Evidence that the warmth of the Northern Hemisphere during
the second half of the last century was unprecedented in the
last 1,000 years comes from three major reconstructions of
past surface temperatures, which used indicators such as tree
rings, corals, ice cores, and lake sediments for years prior
to 1860, and instrumental records for the interval between
1865 and the present.
On the subject of human causation of this warmth, the NRC
report stated that the IPCC's conclusion that most of the
observed warming of the last 50 years is likely to have been
due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations
accurately reflects the current thinking of the scientific
community on this issue.
What the Senator from Connecticut and I are doing is an incredibly modest proposal to try to at least stop the increase of greenhouse gases. The overwhelming majority of the scientific community in the United States of America agrees that climate change is taking place. How serious that is, how significant it is, and how longlasting its effect could be the subject of significant debate and discussion.
But the fact is that the loss of jobs, which I do not believe is accurate, is an issue that needs to be addressed. But what about the loss of our environment? What happens if the coral reefs die? What happens if the Arctic icecap melts? What happens if we continue to see increased temperatures?
I don't know all the answers as to what happens. I leave that in the hands of people who are smarter than I am. But if this picture doesn't concern you, then nothing will. I hope we will be able to pass this legislation as a very modest and a very humble beginning to addressing the issue of climate change.
I assure my colleagues of one thing. I will talk about this again tomorrow. We will be back on this issue, just as we were back on the issue of campaign finance reform. We will be back on it because this is not stopping. This is not stopping. More and more evidence will be accumulated and more and more people will become concerned because we love this great country of ours and we love this world and we do not want to see it destroyed.
The overwhelming body of scientific evidence indicates we are placing our globe in jeopardy and the lives and futures of our children and our grandchildren. We may have lived in a very nice time in the history of the world. Our children and grandchildren may be condemned to a much less happy world.
I reserve the remainder of my time.
As sponsors of the amendment, traditionally, we speak last.
I ask unanimous consent that the Senator from Oklahoma have an additional 3 minutes.
Mr. President, I wish to express my appreciation to all who
have engaged in this debate tonight. I wish we had more time. This press of end-of-year business prevents us from doing so. We will be revisiting this issue. I congratulate the Senator from Oklahoma for an articulate presentation of his views. I look forward to our additional 2 hours together tomorrow.
Mr. President, I suggest the absence of a quorum.
I ask unanimous consent that the order for the quorum call be rescinded.