An Excellent Article Outlining The Greater Significance Of A Solution To The Cyprus Question
Mr. Speaker, I rise before you today to bring to the attention of my colleagues an article that appeared in the National Review Online on January 14, 2003. This article, written by Nikolas K. Gvosdev, artfully details the greater…
Mr. Speaker, I rise before you today to bring to the attention of my colleagues an article that appeared in the National Review Online on January 14, 2003. This article, written by Nikolas K. Gvosdev, artfully details the greater significance of a solution to the division of Cyprus. I ask that my colleagues please review this article, and keep it in mind as we continue our efforts in the 108th Congress.
[From the National Review Online, Jan. 14, 2003]
Cyprus, Iraq, and the War on Terrorism
(By Nikolas K. Gvosdev)
At first glance, Cyprus would appear to have little
connection to either the forthcoming clash with Iraq or the
ongoing war against international terrorism. Yet, the fate of
this divided Mediterranean isle is closely linked with both.
British Defense Minister Geoff Hoon, visiting Turkey in an
effort to enlist Ankara's full participation in any potential
military action against Iraq, said on January 8th that it was
critical to demonstrate to Baghdad that the international
community was ``not simply going to pass resolutions and not
see them enforced'' and that ``we restore Iraq to the
international community as a peaceful neighbor of Turkey,
that we work together to ensure a peaceful outcome to the
present difficulties.'' Both outcomes are far more likely if
a U.N.-drafted peace plan for Cyprus is accepted as the basis
for a final agreement that would end a longstanding source of
instability and tension in the Eastern Mediterranean.
Much attention has been rightfully focused on the February
28th deadline for a settlement. If an agreement cannot be
reached, only the portion of the island controlled by the
internationally recognized Republic of Cyprus will be
admitted, leaving the unrecognized ``Turkish Republic of
North Cyprus'' outside of the common European home, and
further impeding the eventual accession of the Turkish
mainland into the EU.
But there are more immediate consequences. Carl Bildt,
former U.N. Special Envoy for the Balkans, observed that a
settlement for Cyprus ``concerns not only a divided island in
the eastern Mediterranean, or the relationship between two
important countries straddling the divide between Europe and
the Middle East. It is of key importance in the quest for
peace and stability in the entire post-Ottoman area that
stretches from Bihac in Bosnia in the north-west to Basra at
the Persian Gulf in the south-east.''
The peace plan put forward by Kofi Annan envisions a bi-
zonal, bi-communal federation for the island. Admittedly, it
is not a perfect solution, for it tries to balance between
the competing and clashing claims to self-determination of
Cyprus's Greek majority and Turkish minority. What it
attempts to do is to provide a workable mechanism for two
communities to live and co-exist in shared geographic space
within the framework of the internationally recognized
Cypriot state and under the rubric of a common Cypriot
nationality that does not require ethnic homogenization. At
the same time, it hopes to prevent the opening of a Pandora's
box that could plague the entire Eastern Mediterranean:
revising state boundaries; a plague that many fervently hoped
the 1975 Helsinki Final Act had banished from Europe once and
for all.
Iraq faces many of the same issues that bedevil Cyprus. Its
current solution has been to subordinate all regional and
ethnic groups to the personal, dictatorial tyranny of Saddam
Hussein. When his regime falls, however, something must take
its place. Simply dividing Iraq into three ``cantons'' (a
Shiite province in the south, a Sunni center, and a Kurdish
statelet in the north) is a recipe for disaster. Not only
does such a ``solution'' fail to consider that populations
are not neatly segmented (Baghdad, after all, has a largely
Shiite population) and ignore other ethnic minorities
dispersed throughout the country, it would preclude any
central ``Iraqi'' identity from developing. This, in turn,
would increase the risk of regional strife that would draw in
neighboring states. (I commend readers to Dan Byman's
excellent essay on this subject.)
On the other hand, a functioning Cypriot bi-zonal, bi-
communal federation could serve as a model for reconstructing
postwar Iraq in a fashion that respects local autonomy yet
permits freedom of movement and investment across Iraq,
allows for the creation of a durable Iraqi ``identity'' and
maintains a viable Iraqi state within its current boundaries.
Another reason for making a settlement on Cyprus an urgent
priority is that it can produce momentum toward solving other
lingering conflicts in the Balkans and the Caucasus that have
produced ``brown zones'' (whether unrecognized statelets like
Abkhazia or ill-defined international protectorates like
Kosovo) where definitive state authority is lacking. Such
``holes'' in the international system help to facilitate the
activities of terrorists, organized crime factions and drug
smugglers. If a workable bicommunal, bi-zonal federation can
be created for Cyprus, it could then serve as a model upon
which solutions for ethno-separatist conflicts such as
Nagorno-Karabakh or TransDniestria could be crafted. It might
also help to redefine and strengthen currently weak states
such as Bosnia, which endures largely because of the ongoing
infusion of outside capital and troops to sustain the Dayton
Accords. Crafting more viable states throughout the arc of
Eurasia serves long-term American interests as well. After
all, the best means for weakening international terrorist
networks are effective governments that can police their
borders and exercise supervision over their territories.
Cyprus is not simply a ``European'' problem. It requires
continued American effort as well. It is not a
``distraction'' from the larger problems that beset the
United States. Rather, Cyprus may provide a way to deal with
larger headaches in the years ahead.