Mr. Speaker, I yield myself such time as I may consume. Mr. Speaker, I thank my colleague for yielding me the customary 30 minutes. Mr. Speaker, it seems like only yesterday we were here. Does it…
Mr. Speaker, I yield myself such time as I may consume.
Mr. Speaker, I thank my colleague for yielding me the customary 30 minutes.
Mr. Speaker, it seems like only yesterday we were here. Does it not?
Mr. Speaker, we are 5 days away from Christmas, but it feels like Groundhog Day. Less than 24 hours ago, the majority stood in the Chamber and passed its partisan bill to provide tax cuts for millionaires, billionaires, and one President.
Speaker Ryan called it a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, but, apparently, by a twist of fate, he is getting that great opportunity again today, much sooner, I am sure, than he anticipated, because we are taking the bill up again this morning.
Maybe in the mad dash to provide massive tax breaks for corporations and the 1 percent, the majority failed to do the due diligence and properly vet the bill.
We found out, after it passed, that several of its provisions violated the Byrd rule in the Senate. Now, everybody knows about the Byrd rule in the Senate, and I don't understand why this was not found in the conference that was held for maybe 30 minutes.
This is the rule that prohibits the Senate from considering extraneous matters as part of a reconciliation bill.
After passing the House, provisions in this bill governing 529 college savings accounts and exempting certain universities from an excise tax were ruled out of order by the Senate Parliamentarian. The bill was so rushed that even the title of H.R. 1, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, was found to be a violation. Let me repeat that. The very first words of the bill didn't pass muster with a nonpartisan rule keeper in the Senate. Imagine what other areas we have yet to discover.
This is a consequence of a process that was nothing short of an abomination. There were zero hearings on the text of this bill. Not a single expert was called in to give his or her experience. It got the votes to pass only after a series of closed-door, backroom dealings, and a conference committee between the House and Senate Republicans. Well, I think there were some Democrats there, but they tell me that none of them signed the conference report. The Senate was such a sham that an agreement was reached before the first public meeting ever took place.
Now, I know this is not the last time, Mr. Speaker, we will meet here to try to fix this bill. Mark my words, we will be back here next year to make more so-called technical fixes because of this hasty consideration.
The majority is rushing to pass a bill that is historically unpopular, clearly deeply flawed, and we will be forced to clean up its impacts and unintended consequences for many years to come.
I think we have all got a second opportunity here, and I would wish that my friends, to whom I only wish well, would grab up all their papers and run for the door and forget about this tax bill altogether. But I know that that wish will not come true.
Mr. Speaker, I reserve the balance of my time.
Mr. Speaker, I yield 3 minutes to the gentlewoman from the State of Washington (Ms. DelBene).
Mr. Speaker, I yield 1 minute to the gentlewoman from California (Ms. Judy Chu).
Mr. Speaker, I yield myself 30 seconds to say to my friend from Georgia that it wasn't Democrats who found that. The Parliamentarian in the Senate found those errors, and they had to be corrected. Let's put history in the right perspective.
Mr. Speaker, I yield 3 minutes to the gentleman from Texas (Mr. Doggett), who is the distinguished ranking member of the Ways and Means Subcommittee on Tax Policy.
Mr. Speaker, I yield the gentleman from Texas an additional 2 minutes.
Mr. Speaker, I yield the gentleman from Texas an additional 1 minute.
Mr. Speaker, I yield 3 minutes to the gentleman from Pennsylvania (Mr. Brendan F. Boyle).
Mr. Speaker, I yield 3 minutes to the gentlewoman from Illinois (Ms. Schakowsky).
Mr. Speaker, I yield myself such time as I may consume.
Mr. Speaker, the Trump White House released a National Security Strategy Report on Monday, and it pointed out: ``The national debt, now over $20 trillion, presents a grave threat to America's long-term prosperity and, by extension, our national security.''
So what do we do about that? We are going to add $1.5 trillion more.
The overwhelming majority of expert analyses show that, even with growth taken into account, this bill will cause the deficit to skyrocket. It isn't just a threat to our economic security. According to the White House, it is a grave threat to our national security as well.
The bill in front of us costs $1.5 trillion and includes permanent tax cuts for corporations, but temporary ones for individuals.
So who do you think is going to lose those first?
It is really very troubling, I think, too: the idea of looking ahead to what we are going to be dealt with. And we understand already that next year the cry will be: Oh, look at this debt. This is awful. We are going to have to cut spending.
Entitlements will be the place where the Republicans prefer to go.
So let's prepare all of our senior citizens on Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Of course, that also hurts the ACA, that they are going to be on the line next year.
Future Congresses will be pressured to reject the budget gimmick and extend many of those tax cuts, meaning the true cost of the bill is much higher.
According to the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, the expirations and delays hide potential further costs, which could ultimately increase the cost of the bill to $2.2 trillion.
I am sure that my Republican colleagues will argue that growth will prevent the deficit from skyrocketing. But the CRFB reports that even with dynamic scoring, the total cost of the bill without budgetary gimmicks would be over $1.6 trillion and up to $2 trillion with interest. And that takes growth into account. As a result, our debt could exceed the size of our economy by 2027.
Mr. Speaker, I include in the Record the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget's analysis, entitled ``Final Tax Bill Could End Up Costing $2.2 Trillion.'
[From the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, Dec. 18, 2017]
Final Tax Bill Could End Tip Costing $2.2 Trillion
The final conference committee agreement of the Tax Cuts
and Jobs Act (TCJA) would cost $1.46 trillion under
conventional scoring and over $1 trillion on a dynamic basis
over ten years, leading debt to rise to between 95 percent
and 98 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 2027
(compared to 91 percent under current law). However, the bill
also includes a number of expirations and long-delayed tax
hikes meant to reduce the official cost of the bill. These
expirations and delays hide $570 billion to $725 billion of
potential further costs, which could ultimately increase the
cost of the bill to $2.0 trillion to $2.2 trillion (before
interest) on a conventional basis or roughly $1.5 trillion to
$1.7 trillion on a dynamic basis over a decade. As a result,
debt would rise to between 98 percent and 100 percent of GDP
by 2027.
Ignoring the expirations in this bill is particularly
disingenuous given the claim that using a ``current policy
baseline'' reduces the bill's costs. The (flawed) idea is
that the bill should be compared to a current policy baseline
that counts expired and expiring provisions as if they are
continued permanently. (For more on this, see Current Policy
Gimmick Would Add Half-Trillion to Debt (http://www.crfb.org/ blogs/current-policy-gimmick-would-add-half-trillion-debt)).
Using such a construct does not make sense if cost of
continuing future expirations contained in the bill are not
included in the initial cost estimate. Policymakers are
effectively claiming $450 billion of current policy savings
while ignoring over $700 billion of current policy costs.
This latest estimate updates our tally of the gimmicks from
a previous version of the bill (http://www.crfb.org/blogs/ senate-tax-bill-could-ultimately-cost-2-trillion). The
changes made in conference include both tax increases and
decreases that mostly offset each other, with a net increase
in the ten-year cost of $9 billion (compared to the Senate
bill). With these changes, the bill now has a total cost of
$1.46 trillion, or roughly $1.77 trillion with interest.
While there is no new dynamic score of the bill, assuming it
continues to produce very roughly $400 billion of dynamic
feedback (http://www.crfb.org/blogs/official-dynamic-score- shows-senate-tax-bill-will-still-cost-over-1-trillion) would
reduce that cost to about $1.05 trillion, or roughly $1.30
trillion with interest.
However, this cost does not account for as much as $725
billion of potential gimmicks that the conferenced bill
contains.
In the earlier version passed by the Senate, we identified
$585 billion (http://www.crfb.org/blogs/senate-tax-bill- could-ultimately-cost-2-trillion) of arbitrary sunsets and
sunrises of certain provisions. Most significantly, nearly
all of the individual income tax provisions would have
expired after 2025. Additionally, the expensing provisions
``bonus depreciation'' began to phase down starting in 2022,
and a number of new tax increases appeared in 2026. Some
provisions were set to expire even earlier, such as an
expanded deduction for medical expenses and provisions for
craft beer and paid leave--clearly setting the stage for
future extensions.
The conferenced bill adds to the Senate bill's gimmicks,
which we explain here (http://www.crfb.org/blogs/senate-tax- bill-could-ultimately-cost-2-trillion). Most significantly,
it advances the start date of the bill's requirement for
research expenses to be amortized, which nearly doubles the
ten-year savings of the provision. Additionally, the bill
tightens its limits on the business interest deduction four
years in the future--a future tax hike that may not be
allowed to ever occur. Other changes are smaller and move in
both directions.
Adding these gimmicks to the cost of the bill would
increase the total cost to $2.0 trillion to $2.2 trillion.
Though the dynamic effect of making the bill permanent is
unknown, we estimate a permanent bill would produce roughly
$450 billion of feedback, leading to a dynamic cost of
roughly $1.6 trillion to $1.7 trillion. With interest, these
costs would rise to $2.4 trillion to $2.5 trillion, or $1.9
trillion to $2 trillion with dynamic effects included, over a
decade.
Mr. Speaker, we have urgent spending needs. This bill could keep us from dealing with infrastructure, education, healthcare, medical research, and, of course, we have to pay the costs of our military.
Make no mistake, exploding the deficit to pay for this bill--this giveaway to the rich--will come at the expense of all of those priorities.
Mr. Speaker, I reserve the balance of my time.
Mr. Speaker, I yield myself such time as I may consume.
Mr. Speaker, I am not surprised that we are back here fixing the bill, though I am surprised it is so soon, because we have been saying all along that we have got a long way to go with this bill.
If we defeat the previous question, I am going to offer an amendment that will prohibit any legislation from being considered on the House floor that limits or repeals the State and local tax deduction, or repeals the ACA's individual mandate.
We know that repealing the individual mandate will lead to 13 million fewer Americans with health insurance and will cost premiums to rise by 10 percent. Now, I know that not giving healthcare is not much of an issue for the majority of this Congress because they have been trying to do that for a long time.
The bill also caps the State and local tax deduction, hurting taxpayers in my home State of New York, in California, and in other States in the Northeast, all of whom are donor States. My own State sends $48 billion a year to Washington, money that we get back nothing for. But we are not going to be able to do that anymore without this deduction. What we are doing then is risking the stability of the revenues that fund the public schools, fire departments, and hospitals in those States.
Mr. Speaker, let's make things right and defeat the previous question.
Mr. Speaker, I ask unanimous consent to insert the text of my amendment in the Record, along with extraneous material, immediately prior to the vote on the previous question.
Mr. Speaker, I yield 3 minutes to the gentleman from New York (Mr. Jeffries).
Mr. Speaker, I yield myself such time as I may consume.
Mr. Speaker, the majority is clearly unable to responsibly run the House of Representatives, because here we are fixing the bill less than 24 hours after it was passed.
It is a perfect example of why we need to go back to regular order: actually holding hearings, have expert witnesses and testimony, and properly vet bills.
That is pretty elementary, but it surely is true. It is especially true for bills of this magnitude that will effect every single citizen in America.
All the while, the government is about to run out of money, and we haven't even been able to reach a budget deal. That is Friday that the government will close if we do not do that.
We still haven't funded the Children's Health Insurance Program, which provides needed healthcare to more than 9 million children.
We haven't reauthorized the community health centers, which serve more than 25 million people.
We haven't renewed the Perkins Loan Program, which many low-income students rely on for their education.
All of those programs expired back on September 30.
But here we are, wasting valuable time trying to fix the disaster of a bill that the majority passed just hours ago. It is embarrassing and it is humiliating. If we don't do better, the public is going to make us pay the price.
I want to close by quoting an article that appeared this morning in The Washington Post, written by a great columnist, Dana Milbank. I wouldn't miss his writing for the world.
``Maybe he is right and all those blue-chip economists and the nonpartisan analyses by the Joint Committee on Taxation, the Congressional Budget Office, and others are wrong. Maybe growth will dramatically exceed forecasts, millions will enter the labor force and find work, wages will soar, and the $1.5 trillion tax bill will pay for itself. But if all that doesn't happen, the Trump tax will be blamed.''
Mr. Speaker, I end the quote there, reminding you, as Senator Schumer did yesterday, that this could be an anchor around your ankles for the rest of your lives.
Mr. Speaker, I urge a ``no'' vote on the previous question, on the rule, and the bill. For heaven's sake, let us take this opportunity given us and not force this onto the American public.
Mr. Speaker, I yield back the balance of my time.
Mr. Speaker, on that I demand the yeas and nays.