Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order for the quorum call be dispensed with. Mr. President, let me respond to the kind invitation of the ranking member of the Finance Committee, on which I sit, to speak to the matter that…
Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order for the quorum call be dispensed with.
Mr. President, let me respond to the kind invitation of the ranking member of the Finance Committee, on which I sit, to speak to the matter that is before us. I appreciate listening to his remarks about various aspects of the reconciliation tax bill and features thereof. Let me speak to some of those items as well.
There will be a lot of debate, I suspect, over the next several hours--much of which has very little to do with the Senate bill--but I think in anticipation of what is likely to occur in the conference committee when the Senate bill joins up with the House bill and we decide what provisions to take from each of those bills and bring back to our respective bodies.
Clearly, discussion about the capital gains and dividends extension will be part of that discussion. Let me start with that.
I want to begin by noting that the budget resolution which the conference reached in April provides reconciliation protection for $70 billion in tax reductions over 5 years with the direction that the allocations be used to prevent tax-rate increases during the budget window, which is 2006 to 2010.
Let me repeat that. The instruction that we gave for this budget was to prevent tax-rate increases during this budget window. If we do not take action, there will be tax-rate increases during this budget period.
This, as the President said in his State of the Union speech, would be both unanticipated and very unwelcomed by the American people.
What exactly do we mean by that?
Talking about capital gains and dividends, what we did back in April was send a signal to investors that capital gains and dividend tax rates would be extended through 2010. Investment advisers have been alerting their clients that in their planning they must consider that the tax rates have not yet been extended and may, in fact, expire in 2008.
The conference agreement that comes back to our respective bodies needs to extend these investment tax rates to give these investors certainty and to give businesses certainty about how they raise funds to expand their operations.
When Secretary Snow testified before the Finance Committee a week ago, he said it was his opinion that the investors in the country, those people who helped create jobs by investing in our businesses, had already determined that it was likely these tax rates would be extended.
He said, if we do extend them, which we anticipate doing, that is built into the market right now. But he said if we should fail to do so, we could anticipate that the market would react very negatively to our failure to do so. The reason, of course, is obvious. Investors want to know what the return on their investment will be 3 or 4 years out. That is when they will likely turn the asset that will provide the profit or a deficit for them. They want to know what that return is likely to be, which means they want to know what the tax rate is.
The tax rates that will expire in 2008 do not tell them what they need to know.
We have the opportunity to extend those tax rates through 2010 and prevent an increase from occurring, and that is precisely what we ought to do.
It is interesting that these particular taxes are very important to the majority of taxpayers in the country. These are not the so-called tax cuts for the rich. These are a continuation of existing tax rates for a majority of tax filers.
More than half of all Americans own stocks, either directly or through mutual funds. The 2003 marginal rate cut on investment income worked by giving investors an incentive to put more of their money to work in the markets. At the lower rates, the tax penalty imposed on the additional investment earnings, the reward for taking on additional risk, is smaller than before, and it makes the risk more attractive.
When investors get to keep more of their reward, they are encouraged to invest more. With more investment, businesses have an easier time attracting the capital they need to expand, create new goods and services, and also create new jobs.
It is all part of this additional economic activity that creates this economic growth.
Americans support the extension of these tax rates.
A recent poll by the Pew Research Center, released on January 24, found that ``half of Americans support extending reductions in taxes on investment income such as capital gains and profits from stock dividends, while 35 percent believe these tax cuts should not be extended.''
I intend, by the way, to support extending the tax cuts by 34 percent, 35 percent. The reason is very apparent--
because it benefits millions of taxpayers.
These lower rates have helped millions more taxpayers than other popular tax provisions; for example, the alternative minimum tax relief that we want to enact as well.
Let me do a comparison between the AMT, which both Senator Baucus and I would like to see repealed, how many people would benefit from our relief from the alternative minimum tax versus how many would gain relief from an extension of current rates on capital gains and dividends.
It turns out, of all taxpayers that pay the AMT--these are figures from the 2003 tax year, which is the last year--9.7 percent had adjusted gross incomes under $100,000. Meanwhile, of all taxpayers reporting capital gains in 2003, 67.5 percent had adjusted gross incomes under $100,000. Of those reporting dividend income in that year, more than 70 percent had adjusted gross incomes under $100,000.
Nationwide, fewer than 8 million filers would be helped by the AMT hold-harmless provisions, while nearly 20 million filers would be helped by the dividend relief that we would extend, and just over 7 million filers would be helped by the relief from capital gains.
Here is the bottom line: A lot of Americans--over half--are now invested in the stock market. A lot of people will receive benefits if we continue the current tax rates for dividends and capital gains. Over 20 million of these filers under $100,000 will have dividend income and over 7 million will have capital gains income. That is compared to those taxpayers whom we will help under the AMT relief that we provide of about 8 million filers.
The bottom line is, other than the wealthy in our country, we are talking about helping people with both kinds of relief, but far more will benefit from the capital gains relief, and especially the dividend relief, than will benefit from the AMT relief. Some of our colleagues understand that and say: We understand in terms of pure numbers there are a lot more taxpayers, especially in the lower income categories, who will benefit from dividends and capital gains relief than AMT relief.
What about the fact that maybe they do not get as much relief, that the dollar amount is not as much? There is a myth floating around that it is actually very low. In fact, there is something being quoted as IRS statistics--and they are not IRS statistics. They are from a report of a group called the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and also the Brookings Institute Tax Policy Center, which claims IRS data shows the taxpayers with income of $50,000 or less only receive a benefit of $11 per return from the lower rates on dividends and capital gains, and the benefit for taxpayers with income under $75,000 would only be $77 per return.
That is just plain wrong. First of all, the data is not from IRS. What is the data from IRS showing? Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent a couple of charts be printed in the Record after these remarks to show what I am talking about.
The IRS statistics--and this comes specifically from table 3.6, 2003, of a report called ``Individual Income Tax Returns, Returns with Modified Taxable Income: Taxable Income and Tax Classified by Each Rate at which Tax Was Computed and by Marital Status.'' If you look under that table, what you will find is that based upon actual IRS data estimated from 2003, the people who had taxable income of less than $50,000 on a per return basis, saved about $171 each. In 2008, the tax rate is reduced from 5 percent to zero for these taxpayers. Based upon the same data, that allows the rate to expire, which would result in a $341 tax increase on each of the almost 10 million taxpayers in these two lowest income tax brackets if we do not extend this tax rate at its current level.
What are we saying? If we do not take action and extend this current rate, what we are going to have for these lower income tax payers, those who make $50,000 or less, is they will see a $341 tax increase on each of those almost 10 million taxpayers. That is a far cry from this figure of $11, which is simply wrong.
The bottom line is, not only will more taxpayers receive relief under the extension of the capital gains and dividends part of what we hope will be the conference report than those who receive AMT relief, it will be substantial relief. If we allow these rates to expire, there is going to be a substantial tax increase on these people in the lowest brackets, those making $50,000 and below. They will see a $341 tax increase. I would call that real money. I call that amount of people real people.
I mentioned before the people making $100,000 or less. What about those making less than that? If you look at those with adjusted gross incomes of $30,000, for example, with regard to dividends, 19.2 percent of the people reporting dividends were in that income category. With respect to capital gains, likewise, at that lower adjusted gross income of $30,000, 18.5 percent of those reporting long-term capital gains were in that category.
The bottom line is, whether you are talking about less than $100,000, less than $30,000--I mentioned the amount of money received from those making less than $50,000--whatever category you are looking at, you better extend the current rates or there will be millions and millions of these low-income taxpayers receiving a big hit on their taxes.
Let me be very plain. We are not talking about additional cuts in taxes. What we are talking about is just keeping the existing tax rates. If we do not extend them, millions of low-income Americans are going to see a huge increase in their tax bill; one that is unanticipated, unappreciated. We cannot afford to allow that to happen.
I hope we could agree, those who agree there should be relief from the alternative minimum tax, that we also need to continue to provide the relief from the dividends in capital gains taxes as well.
In addition to talking about this in terms of American families, it is important to understand what this has done for our economy. The fact is, all taxpayers, all workers in this country, all people who have jobs, all benefit from the economic expansion that has occurred largely as a result of the tax policies the President has proposed and to which Congress has agreed. It would be folly to allow those tax policies to expire.
What kind of impact have these tax policies had on the gross domestic product? Whether you embrace these lower rates or not, you have to acknowledge they have helped our economy, which grew at a 4.1-percent annual rate in the third quarter of last year, the 10th straight quarter in which gross domestic production grew at a rate above 3 percent. It is interesting to compare this with the European economies. For 2005, the Euro area gross domestic production grew at only 1.4 percent. Economists predict for 2006 it will be about 1.9 percent. The United States, by contrast, is expected to grow at 3.6 percent for 2006, according to the CBO.
What does this mean, or how does the gross domestic production actually increase? You have to have business investment, primarily small businesses. Interestingly, business investment fell in the nine consecutive quarters before the 2003 tax rate bill was passed. For nine consecutive quarters, businesses were not investing. Investment was declining. So in 2003 we passed these additional tax rates. What happened was cutting taxes on capital helped reverse the decline. In the 11 consecutive quarters since these tax cuts, business investment measured by nonresidential fixed investment has increased each and every quarter. In fact, business investment has continued to increase even after the expiration of the temporary bonus depreciation for business investments expire.
Interestingly, it has not just been businesses that have seen additional revenue as a result of the investment, but there has been job creation from these tax cuts. But, ironically, these tax cuts--or paradoxically, I could say--have also provided increased revenues to the Federal Treasury. According to a recent report by the CBO, capital gains revenue is 16 times greater than it was forecast to be. Government estimators predicted that the reduction in capital gains rates enacted in 2003 would cost the Federal Government $27 billion in lost revenues for 2004. CBO's most recent report shows
that the lower rates actually brought in an additional $26 billion in revenue. Instead of costing $27 billion, the lower rates actually made $26 billion for the Treasury.
Why does that happen? It is fairly obvious. You are holding assets, and if you sell them, it will cost you 20 percent in taxes, 20 percent of the gain. That is a pretty stiff tax. You do not want to do that. Congress comes along and says: We will reduce that down to 15 percent. Small businesses, in particular, say: Great; in that event, we will pay less in taxes, 25 percent less. We will go ahead and sell the asset and only pay 15 percent.
So more people do that than were expected to sell assets so even at a lower rate, because of the increase in volume, the Government ends up making a lot more money.
Think of it this way. You are a department store. When you go to the department store and there is a big sale over the week, how can the department store make any money? It is simple. They reduce the price they sell their product for, but there is so much more of the product sold that they more than make up for the reduced cost by the volume of sales.
It is the same thing that occurs here. Lower the rate a little bit, but that attracts people to sell their assets, to take advantage of that lower rate. And that increased volume in sales more than makes up for the reduction in the rate. That is why you have to be a little careful with the CBO projections about the ``cost'' to the Federal Government of lower taxes. Frequently, the cost ends up not to be a cost at all but an increase in actual revenues. That is precisely what has been occurring here.
It is interesting that according to the same CBO report, the Government took in $60 billion in capital gains taxes in fiscal year 2004, which is a 20-percent increase from 2003. And it is projected that capital gains taxes coming into the Treasury increased another 25 percent in 2005--up $75 billion. That is real money no matter how you calculate it.
We cannot say for certain that the lower tax rates will always continue to make revenue for the Treasury in the future, but looking back we can sure conclude that these investment tax rates have thus far been nothing but good news for the Treasury. That means good news for all of us because instead of the Government going further into a deficit situation, this increased revenue is helping us to keep the deficit more under control.
It is interesting that overall revenues are up in 2005. The Treasury collected $2.15 trillion in revenues, which is the highest level of Federal receipts in history, and it is $274 billion more than collected in the previous year. Remember, this is with lower tax rates. Yet we still took in $274 billion more than collected the year before. That is a 14.6-percent increase overall. CBO has projected individual revenues for 2006 will be up 8.2 percent, greater than they were from 2005, and that corporate receipts will be 8.6 percent higher. Revenues for December 2005, just to take that month, were 12 percent higher than they were for December 2004. Corporate receipts were up about 33 percent, and receipts from individual income tax payments were up about 5 percent.
This is the biggest reason we should not in any sense be accepting arguments that somehow we need to have what some people around here call pay-go, where you take the CBO estimates of how much a tax reduction is going to cost the Treasury, and somehow you make that up in additional revenue. So that net, you are not reducing taxes on the taxpayers at all.
What is the point of a tax reduction if it is not a real tax reduction; if you are just taking money out of one pocket but then you have to add it from the other pocket? It makes no sense. In fact, it is just reversed. We should not be talking about the cost to the Treasury; we should be talking about the cost to the taxpayers. They are the ones who have to pay. It is their hard-earned money. We cannot spend a dime in Congress that somebody did not work very hard to earn to send back to Washington in the form of taxes.
When we talk about increasing taxes or decreasing taxes or keeping the level of the taxes where they are right now, and we calculate the cost to the Federal Treasury, I say forget that. I am worried about the cost on my constituents. They are the ones who will invest. They are the ones who will hire more people if we let them keep more money. And that means more people will have jobs. If people have jobs, they will pay more in taxes and the Government will continue to collect more revenue.
The statistics I have quoted demonstrate that a sensible tax policy, one which doesn't set the rates too high, will actually end up bringing more revenue into the Federal Treasury than one which tries to set the rates too high. That is why since pay-go does nothing about the spending side of the equation, which is what is driving up the deficit--because our big entitlement programs: Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security are not affected by that. It does nothing to affect them whatsoever. The only thing it does is require if we have a tax reduction we have to have a tax increase somewhere else so it comes out even. That does not do the economy any good at all.
The bottom line is the provisions of the bill before the Senate, as well as those that are likely to come back to the Senate from conference, will be helpful to individual taxpayers in the lower income brackets and helpful to families who create small businesses, who have small businesses that create jobs. They will be helpful to the economy as a whole and even helpful to the Federal Treasury.
I will refer a little bit to this argument made by some, including my good friend from Montana, that we cannot afford to do both the 1-year fix for AMT; that is to say, have most people not pay the unanticipated taxes under the alternative minimum tax, and also the relief we would provide by continuing the existing tax rates for capital gains and dividends. The fact of the matter is, we can, and we will, do both. Within the next 3 or 4 weeks, we will have done both, and the country will be better off for it.
There is about $30 billion that is required to provide the so-called fix for the alternative minimum tax to make sure that at least most taxpayers are not going to be stunned by that tax this year. I support that. The AMT is a feature of our Tax Code that has gone awry. As I said, both Senator Baucus and I have sponsored legislation to do away with it. Its intended purpose was to make sure very wealthy people could not zero out their tax liability by claiming what are, in fact, legitimate deductions and exemptions and credits. But they were being used to the point that some people paid virtually no taxes or no taxes. Congress decided: Well, everybody has to pay something, everybody except people at the low income.
But because it was not indexed for inflation, and, as it turns out, it is almost impossible to target just the ``rich,'' the AMT has gone awry. It has crept into the middle class. If we do not stop it, before long it is going to affect virtually all taxpayers.
So what the bill provides is an increased exemption for 2006 so that the exemptions do not drop back to pre-2001 levels. It also prevents certain credits from being eroded by the AMT. The net result is that most people should not have to worry about the AMT tax bill for this year.
But the bottom line is, we can do that and also provide the relief for capital gains and dividends, according to the calculation of the ``costs'' for that relief. In other words, extending for 2 more years the existing rates for capital gains and dividends, that is a little more than $20 billion.
So when Congress passed the $70 billion in relief in the budget last April, and asked the committees to come back with their reconciliation in taxes for that amount, we wanted to make sure no one would pay higher taxes during this 5-year budget window. We can do that by extending the same rate for capital gains and dividends--that is about $20 billion--providing this year of relief from the alternative minimum tax--that is about $30 billion--and there is still something like $16 billion or $20 billion, about $20 billion left over for other provisions which we also want to take care of.
I am also going to discuss some of these other provisions because I think it is very important for anybody who might think about voting against this bill to appreciate what they would be voting against.
First, they would be voting against the savers' credit. The savers' credit is
a nonrefundable tax credit that encourages low-income taxpayers to make contributions to an employer-provided retirement savings plan or an IRA. This tax reconciliation bill extends that credit through 2009. It is currently scheduled to expire at the end of this year. Nationwide, almost 5.5 million filers take advantage of this tax credit. By the way, almost 100,000 of those filers are in my State of Arizona.
How about small business expensing? Under current law, small businesses can deduct the cost of qualified investments in the first year they are made, up to $100,000, indexed for inflation. After 2007, this amount will drop back to $25,000. What our bill does is to extend the increased amount through 2009. Keeping the increased amount enables small businesses to continue to invest and grow.
Now, if you vote against this bill, here is something else you will be voting against: the above-the-line deduction for college tuition expenses. Under current law, the provision that allows a taxpayer to take an above-the-line deduction for college tuition costs expired at the end of 2005. It is done. The full deduction is available for joint filers with income under $130,000 and is phased down for higher income filers.
The tax reconciliation bill, the bill that is before us, would extend it through 2009. We have to do that this year because it has expired. Above-the-line deductions are important in this case because they are available to nonitemizers, while most deductions, below the line, are only available to those filers who itemize. Nationwide, over 3.6 million filers claimed this deduction in 2004. About 74,000 of those filers, by the way, were in my State of Arizona.
There are some other extenders. The President talked about some of these in his State of the Union speech. For example, the R&D tax credit that is so important to continued research and development in our country. And there is the 15-year depreciation recovery period for restaurant improvements, the 15-year depreciation recovery period for leasehold improvements. This bill also extends the deduction for teachers who pay for some expenses out of their own pocket. This is something I introduced some years ago. In fact, if my recollection serves, the average teacher spends about $500 a year out of her or his own pocket to bring supplies to school that are not paid for by the schools in order help teach the kids. We provide a deduction for that. Nationwide, there are 3.3 million filers who take advantage of that. And 62,000 of those are in my State of Arizona.
Finally, to mention the sales tax deduction. This is very important. It is not important in my State in particular, but it sure is important in some other States. For 2004 and 2005, taxpayers living in States without income taxes could take an itemized deduction for State and local sales taxes in lieu of the existing deduction for State and local income taxes, from which they get no benefit. The reconciliation bill would extend this option for 2006. Nationwide, 12.3 million families and individuals will benefit from the sales tax deduction this year, 2006.
So the bottom line of all of this is that this bill is not just about the AMT and capital gains and dividends; it is about a lot more. My colleagues who want to help average taxpayers, people who do not even itemize their deductions, teachers, small businesses--all of these taxpayers are benefited by the bill we have before us. It is important for us to support these taxpayers, by the millions, as I said.
There is a final point; that is, a point that Senator Baucus has raised concerning the so-called Byrd rule. This is a very technical, rather arcane point about revenue loss beyond the budget window. The two tax-writing committee chairmen in the House and the Senate are well aware of this requirement and will make certain the conference agreement complies with all rules of the Senate by including any necessary offsets, as the Senate-passed reconciliation bill complies with all rules of the Senate. So I want to assure my colleagues that the problem that has been raised is not going to be a problem by the time we conclude voting on this legislation. They can rest assured of that.
So, Mr. President, I urge my colleagues, as they consider any motions to instruct conferees this evening, that it is all well and good to tell our conferees what we think, but the bottom line is, we need to get this bill into conference so the conference committee can issue a conference report that we will then deal with and our House colleagues will then deal with, that will continue the tax rates that currently exist, that will continue the deductions and exemptions we currently have for all these taxpayers we talk about, that will not allow taxes to increase on our constituents. That is what this bill is all about-- nothing more, nothing less--no tax increases.
Thank you, Mr. President.
Exhibit 1