To require a new National Intelligence Estimate on prospects for security and stability in Iraq.

SA 4802. Mr. KENNEDY (for himself, Mr. Reid, Mr. Biden, Mr. Levin,
Mr. Reed, Mr. Lautenberg, and Mr. Rockefeller) submitted an amendment
intended to be proposed by him to the bill H.R. 5631, making
appropriations for the Department of Defense for the fiscal year ending
September 30, 2007, and for other purposes; as follows:

On page 150, line 24, insert before the period the
following: ``: Provided, That Director of National
Intelligence shall, utilizing amounts appropriated by this
heading, prepare by not later than October 1, 2006, a new
National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq with an assessment by
the intelligence community of critical political, economic,
and security trends in Iraq, which shall address such matters
as the Director of National Intelligence considers
appropriate, including (1) an assessment whether Iraq is in
or is descending into civil war and the actions that will
prevent or reverse deterioration of conditions promoting
civil war, including sectarianism, (2) an assessment whether
Iraq is

[[Page S8654]]

succeeding in standing up effective security forces, and the
actions that will increase the chances of that occurring,
including an assessment of (A) the extent to which militias
are providing security in Iraq, and (B) the extent to which
the Government of Iraq has developed and implemented a
credible plan to disarm and demobilize and reintegrate
militias into government security forces and is working to
obtain a political commitment from political parties to ban
militias, (3) an assessment of (A) the extent of the threat
from violent extremist-related terrorism, including al Qaeda,
in and from Iraq, (B) the extent to which terrorism in Iraq
has exacerbated terrorism in the region and globally, (C) the
extent to which terrorism in Iraq has increased the threat to
United States persons and interests around the world, and (D)
actions to address the terrorist threat, (4) an assessment
whether Iraq is succeeding in creating a stable and effective
unity government, the likelihood that changes to the
constitution will be made to address concerns of the Sunni
community, and the actions that will increase the chances of
that occurring, (5) an assessment (A) whether Iraq is
succeeding in rebuilding its economy and creating economic
prosperity for Iraqis, (B) the likelihood that economic
reconstruction in Iraq will significantly diminish the
dependence of Iraq on foreign aid to meet its domestic
economic needs, and (C) the actions that will increase the
chances of that occurring, (6) a description of the
optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic scenarios for the
stability of Iraq through 2007, (7) an assessment whether,
and in what ways, the large-scale presence of multinational
forces in Iraq helps or hinders the chances of success in
Iraq; and (8) an assessment of the extent to which the
situation in Iraq is affecting relations with Iran, Saudi
Arabia, Turkey, and other countries in the region: Provided
further, That, not later than October 1, 2006, the Director
of National Intelligence shall submit to Congress the
National Intelligence Estimate prepared under the preceding
proviso, together with an unclassified summary of the
National Intelligence Estimate: Provided further, That if the
Director of National Intelligence is unable to submit the
National Intelligence Estimate by the date specified in the
preceding proviso, the Director shall submit to Congress, not
later than that date, a report setting forth the reasons for
being unable to do so''.
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