I thank the gentleman very much. I spent, in a former life, 24 years teaching, and so this is like coming home to me. This is a very interesting graph, and it points out some interesting things about the budget and about the deficit and…
I thank the gentleman very much. I spent, in a former life, 24 years teaching, and so this is like coming home to me.
This is a very interesting graph, and it points out some interesting things about the budget and about the deficit and about surpluses. Here we have three curves, and these three curves are labeled. The gross Federal debt. That is more often referred to as the national debt. And then there is the public debt. Now, this is the debt that we advertized that we were paying down during the 4 or 5 years of surpluses. And it is true. You can see that debt fell off slightly during the 4 or 5 years of surpluses.
But look at what was happening concomitant with that, and that was the debt held by government accounts. Now, another way of referring to that debt is that this is the debt owed to our children and our grandchildren, in large measure. This is the trust fund debt. These are the surpluses and the trust funds that we have collected from our working people, many of them our children and our grandchildren, to be there for them for their retirement and for their Medicare. We have taken that money and spent that money.
So all the while that we told the American people that we were paying down the public debt, the total debt, that is the debt on which interest is accumulating and the debt which we owe, is going up and ever up. There was not, as a matter of fact, a moment in time during those 4 or 5 years of our so-called surpluses that the gross Federal debt or the national debt actually came down. There were 14 months when the revenues exceeded the expenditures, but that is because of quarterly filings and April 15 and so forth.
If the Federal Government were required to keep its books on the accrual basis, which is the way every American company that handles more than $1 million a year, and we handle a whole lot more than $1 million a year, then there never was a moment in time when in fact the national debt, here labeled the gross Federal debt, went down.
Now, the fact that we were paying down the debt held by the public, the public debt, was good news for us here today. The low interest rates are at least partially due to the fact that we have paid down this debt somewhat. The Federal Government was not competing in the open market for dollars, and so interest rates dropped. So the low interest on your home, the low interest on your auto loan, which frequently is zero now, the low interest on your children's loan for tuition, all of that is due to the fact that we were paying down this public debt.
But the flip side of that is that for every dollar of public debt that we paid down by taking money from the trust funds, we accumulated another dollar debt in the trust fund. So that the sum of those two, always the sum of these two, equals the gross Federal debt.
Well, that is exactly right. And if we look at the size of that expenditure, 11.4 percent, that is just a little lower than the roughly 15 percent that we spend on our military. And if interest rates rise, the amount of money that we spend on servicing the debt could be larger than the amount of money we spend on our military, which for a single item is certainly the largest number in our budget. So the interest on the debt could become the largest single expenditure in our budget.
Every year that we do not balance our budget makes it just that much more difficult to balance the budget the next year because we are going to have to pay more interest on the additional money that we have borrowed. So as year by year goes by and this debt goes up and up and up, it is going to be increasingly difficult to balance the budget.
Now, what we are telling our children and our grandchildren is that we cannot run our government on current revenues. And because the things we want to spend money on are so important, we hope that you will understand that we have to borrow money from your generation. So that when it comes time for you to run the government, not only will you have to run the government on current revenues, but you are going to have to pay back all of the money that we have borrowed from your generation. I do not think that is fair. I do not believe my children think that is fair. And I do not believe my grandchildren think that is fair.
I would like to talk for just a moment about this debt held by government accounts, or the trust fund debt. By law now the only place that we can invest surpluses in our trust funds is in nonnegotiable U.S. securities. That means when they take some FICA money, tax, from you, you see it on your pay stub and that goes into this account in Washington. Immediately there is a big computer that recognizes that that money has gone there, and so it, in effect, prints an IOU and it puts the IOU in the account and it takes the money out so that there is, in fact, no money in any of these trust funds.
Now, there are a lot of different trust funds, 50 odd trust funds. The largest of these trust funds is Social Security. The surpluses this year in the Social Security surplus will be about $161 billion. The next largest trust fund is the Civil Service Retirement Trust Fund, then the Railroad Retirement Trust Fund, and the Transportation Trust Fund, and the Airport Trust Fund, and it goes on and on through a list of smaller and smaller trust funds equally, about 50 of these trust funds. This year, the accumulated surpluses in these trust funds will be almost $200 billion, $191 plus billion surpluses, in these trust funds.
Now, what this means is, since the only place by law that we can invest surpluses in these trust funds is in nonnegotiable U.S. securities, this debt is bound to go on as long as this law stays in effect. What that means is that government will always be increasing the debt by that amount. Because that money comes in and it can only be invested in nonnegotiable U.S. securities. And there is no way that money in Washington will not be spent.
I thank the gentleman. And this is an interesting curve. When the gentleman said we are increasing our spending by about 7 percent a year, that seems to be a steady rate of increase. But it is interesting that when we have a steady rate of increase, the amount that we are increasing rises exponentially. And that is just the characteristic of this kind of a rise. So if this continues, just at the 7 percent, this curve gets steeper and steeper and steeper and steeper as time goes on. It is compounding interest.
There is a namesake of mine, I guess he is my namesake, because he is a bit older than I, at the University of Colorado who says the biggest failure of our industrial society is our inability to understand the exponential function. That exponential function, if we keep on increasing spending at this rate, will eventually bury us.
Let me put this original chart back up for a moment, and I just want to talk for a moment about these trust funds and lockboxes. Now, we heard an awful lot, while we had surpluses, about lockboxes. And, by the way, that is a word we have not heard since we stopped having surpluses. Nobody talks about lockboxes anymore. We had a lockbox first on Social Security and then we had a lockbox on Medicare.
Now, what this lockbox said was if we had a surplus in those accounts, and we did, and we do, and we will have for a while, but the reason we have surpluses in those accounts now is because actuarially we have a generation of people that are going to retire in the future. And unless we accumulate a lot of money for their retirement, there will be no Social Security checks for them. There will be no Medicare coverage for them. So that is the reason we have these accumulated surpluses. It is not that we can cut taxes because we have these surpluses, because we are going to need them in spades.
Now, that lockbox had nothing to do with preserving or protecting Social Security. We have not, as a matter of fact, done anything to preserve and protect Social Security. I am delighted we are talking about it. Seven years ago, 8 years ago, if I talked about Social Security, that would have been perceived by seniors as a threat to their Social Security. I would have lost a lot of votes. And so nobody even talked about Social Security.
I would like to talk about the balanced budget that we had and surpluses. There was a balanced budget, and there were some surpluses. The balanced budget was the unified budget. That is all of the money that comes into Washington and all of the money that Washington spends. But about 10 percent of the money that comes into Washington should not be Washington's money to spend because it is taken from the American people presumably to be put in trust for the American people to make available to them such things as civil service retirement, as Medicare benefits, and as Social Security retirement in later years. So there was a surplus, but it was not a surplus that resulted in paying down the debt.
Now a debt was paid down. The debt that was paid down was the public debt, and I am sure the average citizen had no idea that there were two debts, a public debt and the national debt. While we paid down the public debt, the national debt kept going up. As I mentioned earlier, I checked with the CBO, and there was not a moment in time during those 4 or 5 years when Washington was telling the American people that we were paying down the debt when in fact the debt that really mattered, the debt that we are passing on our children and grandchildren, there never was a moment in time when that debt went down. It went up. That debt is projected to go up faster and faster over the next several years. Looking at the curve, in the next 2 years, this jumps up just about half a trillion dollars. The advertised deficit is only $245 billion; but the real deficit is going to be roughly twice that because we have to add to whatever Washington tells us the deficit is, we have to add to that the monies that are taken from the trust fund.
Now, this whole trust fund charade started during the Johnson years. Those who are older remember his guns and butter. He was running deficits that were embarrassingly high. So what his administration did to hide those deficits was to move those trust funds on budget and then take the surpluses in the trust funds and spend them and pretend that was not debt.
They make the perfectly silly statement the Social Security surplus offsets the deficits. For me this year that is true because I did not have to go, as a part of this government, out in the marketplace and borrow dollars because what I did, without their consent, was to borrow that money from my children and grandchildren. As a matter of fact, what we have here, what we are amassing here is the largest intergenerational transfer of debt probably in the history of mankind. Eleven years ago when I ran for Congress, I promised my constituents that I was going to conduct myself down here so my kids and grandkids would not come and spit on my grave. I have tried to do that. That is why I have always been honest with my constituents.
For all of those years that we were saying that we had a surplus and were paying down the debt, I told audiences that it will probably not surprise them to learn that Washington is not being altogether truthful. We are paying down the debt. It is the public debt; but the public debt is only part of the national debt, which is a sum that is really important because we have to add to the public debt the debt accumulated in the trust funds which we have borrowed. That just keeps going up.
Projecting this out, we will buy and buy, and have a lesser appetite for borrowing from the public.
Pigs may fly, too, but I think that is about as likely as the Federal Government paying this debt.
That is right. That is what happened in Russia today. So their senior citizens who worked a lifetime to earn a retirement, now have $5 to $6 a month for their retirement. We could monetize the debt. We could cause such inflation in this country by printing money that is not represented by goods and services, and that is what inflation is. We could do that so it would be easy to pay down this debt because we would be paying it down with cheap dollars, but the people who really get hurt are those people who have worked hard and are counting on retiring on interest. We have destroyed their retirement. We have no right to talk about doing this to people in the future.
Madam Speaker, the average American has little idea of how much tax they pay. The last year for which I saw data, tax freedom day was May 10. Every American citizen works up through May 10 to pay Federal, State, and local taxes. On May 10, Americans will have paid all of their taxes; but May 11, do not count on working for yourself because for the next 7 weeks, up until July 6 last year, every American had to work full time to pay the cruelest tax of all, the most regressive tax we pay, it is the worst tax for our poorest people because the poorest of the poor have to pay this tax, just like the richest pay the tax. There is no exemption from this tax, there is no deduction for this tax, and it is the favorite tax of my liberal friends who do not understand how really regressive this tax is. And what this tax is, it is unfunded Federal mandates. It is all of the laws that we have passed here that require a State or a county or a city or a business to do something that costs them money which we do not pay for in the Federal budget. It is called an unfunded Federal mandate, and that consumes the working time of every American for about 7 weeks, that is, 52 percent of your time is spent working for the government.
I think the most important thing to remember here is what we are doing here does not affect just you and me this year and our taxes; it is going to affect our kids and our grandkids.
I just cannot in good conscience continue to pass on to my kids and my grandkids this ever-increasing debt. What we are telling them is that it is impossible for us to run our government on current revenues because our needs are so important; they need to understand that we have to borrow from their generation so that we can continue to live the way we are living now in our generation.
We are telling them that, Sally and John, when it comes time for you to run the government, not only are you going to have to run the government on current revenues, but you are going to have to pay back all the money that we borrowed from your generation. Milton Friedman observed that government spends all the money you give it plus as much more as it can get away with.
Washington loves to spend money. Whenever a new bill comes up that has more money in it than we had in it last year, the question is always asked, if we spend more money, can we help more people? That is not the right question to ask. Of course if we spend more money we will help some more people. But the right question to ask is would this money help more people if we left it in the private sector than if we took it into the government and spent it? The answer to that question is almost always, except for running the military perhaps, that the money will do more good when left in the private sector.
So you listen to people here on the floor, they are always making the wrong point. They are always asking the wrong question. What they are saying is, if we spend more money, will we help more people? Yes. But that is not the right question. The right question is, if we left this money in the private sector, would it help more people than if we took it into the government and spent it? Almost every time the answer to that question is, please leave it in the private sector.
You mentioned our Founding Fathers. It might be instructive to seek their counsel and to look back at how we got here and their dreams for this country. Our Founding Fathers came mostly from the British Isles and the European continent. If you think back in your history, almost all of them came from a country that was ruled by a king or an emperor who claimed and, incredibly from our perspective, was granted divine rights. What that says is that the rights came from God to the king or the emperor. They were divine rights. He would give what rights he wished to his people. When our Founding Fathers came here, in that Declaration of Independence, they made a very radical statement and we read it and seldom reflect on how radical it was. They said there that all men are created equal. The country they came from did not believe that because they thought the king and the emperor was created more equal, if we can use the term from Animal Farm. And that we are endowed by our Creator with certain unalienable rights. Among these are life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. And what our Founding Fathers wanted to establish was a very limited government. They did that by writing into the Constitution, and I always carry a copy of it, in article 1, section 8, and these are just the words between my two thumbs. That is not much. This describes all of the powers that they granted to the Federal Government.
Just after I came here, about 10 years ago, I was given 3\1/2\ minutes in debate. That is a long time in debate. It was about a land grab that I thought was unconstitutional. So I took out my Constitution and I went down it. I am not going to read every word in this, it is not much if I read it all, but I just hit the highlights of each of these little paragraphs. You can see that they are little paragraphs.
That Congress shall have power to lay and collect taxes. We learned how to do that, did we not?
To borrow money. We are doing that big time.
To regulate commerce.
To establish a uniform rule of naturalization.
To coin money and regulate the value thereof. Somehow we gave that away to the Federal Reserve without amending the Constitution. I do not quite know how we did that.
Provide for the punishment of counterfeiting.
Establish post offices and post roads.
Promote the progress of science. These are copyrights and patents.
Constitute tribunals inferior to the Supreme Court. This is our lower courts.
Define and punish piracies and felonies.
And then about a third of all of these words deal with our control of the military.
To declare war. We do that. The President does not do that.
Raise and support armies.
Provide and maintain a Navy.
Make rules for the government and regulation of the land and naval forces.
Provide for calling forth the militia.
Provide for organizing, arming and disciplining the militia.
And then a big paragraph on the District of Columbia, to exercise exclusive legislation in all cases whatsoever. I am really supportive of home rule, but I do not know how we gave Washington home rule without amending the Constitution, which I think we should have done.
When I finished doing this, I went to leave and the recording clerk that sits just behind me came up the aisle behind me and tapped on my shoulder and said, What was that you were reading from? Oh, I said, that is the Constitution.
Can I see it? I hand it to them.
Can I copy it? They took it back and copied it.
Announcement by the Speaker Pro Tempore
Madam Speaker, our Founding Fathers were so concerned that someone might not understand that they really meant to have a limited Federal Government, that just 4 years later, in 1791, they wrote 12 amendments that started through the process of two-thirds of the House, two-thirds of the Senate, three-fourths of the State legislatures, 10 of those made it through, we know that there was a Bill of Rights, and the 10th amendment in the Bill of Rights, the most violated amendment in the Constitution, the least referred to amendment in the Constitution probably, says very simply, the powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution nor prohibited by it to the States are reserved to the States respectively or to the people. That is old English and that is legalese. If we put that in modern everyday language what it says is if you can't find it in article 1, section 8, you can't do it.
I brought this up because this is the reason that we have this problem, an ever increasing debt, because we have not recognized the limited Federal Government that our Founding Fathers envisioned for us. Were they to be resurrected today and come see what we have done to their country, they might have a heart attack and die very quickly again. But they could not have imagined that the Federal Government would be what it is today, doing all of the things, little of which, by the way, can be justified by article 1, section 8, which is supposed to define what we do. So one way of solving our problem is a return to truly constitutional government, to stop doing those things that in their wisdom they knew could be done better in the private sector. We need to keep asking that question over and over again. Where will this money do the most good? Spent by government or left in the private sector to provide jobs and resources for our people?