Mr. Speaker, I thank the chairman for his leadership on the budget issues. Mr. Speaker, before we discuss what we cannot fund, we have to discuss a little bit about where we are in the budget. One cannot discuss these numbers without…
Mr. Speaker, I thank the chairman for his leadership on the budget issues.
Mr. Speaker, before we discuss what we cannot fund, we have to discuss a little bit about where we are in the budget. One cannot discuss these numbers without charts, because we hear rhetoric, and it is confusing. But when we see the numbers on the chart, we get an idea of where we are and how deep a hole we are in.
This is the on-budget deficit for years beginning with the Johnson administration through Nixon and Ford and Carter, Reagan and Bush, larger deficits; the green is the Clinton administration where we passed a budget in 1993 without a single Republican vote in the House, without a single Republican vote in the Senate, and were able to exercise fiscal responsibility, digging ourselves out of the deep hole and into a surplus. And this is an on-budget surplus, so that the Social Security and Medicare are temporary surpluses and are in a lockbox to be used for Social Security and Medicare in the future. We had a surplus.
When the Republicans came in after the 1994 elections, they passed significant tax cuts that President Clinton vetoed. They threatened to close down the government, as my colleagues will remember; and he vetoed them again. They closed down the government, and he still refused to sign those massive tax cuts because they were fiscally irresponsible. When President Bush came in after the 2000 elections, they passed those same tax cuts again, and we see how much damage has been done to the budget. Now, this is a net surplus in the budget, going down to almost $700 billion, a total swing of approximately $750 billion deterioration in our budget situation.
Let us put that into context: the entire revenue from the individual income tax, everybody's individual income tax, less than $800 billion. We have seen a deterioration in the deficit, $750 billion.
Now, this chart shows it another way: the percentage of the budget paid for with borrowed money. You see, this is World War II, you come through the years. The Clinton years, we went into significant surplus; and when this President Bush came in, we started spending, paying for more and more of our budget with borrowed money.
We are up now to over 30 percent, well over 30 percent of the budget, the Federal budget is paid for with borrowed money. And you will notice that that is a level we have not seen since World War II.
Now, we got there with tax cuts. It is interesting to know who got the tax cuts. This chart shows what the upper 20 percent, the next 20 percent, the middle 20 percent and the other 20 percentiles, how much of the tax cut they got. If you look at the top 20 percent and just look at the top 1 percent, about half of the tax cuts have gone to the upper 1 percent of the taxpayers. To put it another way, you can look and see approximately what you got if you made more than a $1 million on average you get about $89,000 tax cuts. $500,000 to $1 million, you got about $13,000. And on average as you get down to $50,000 to $75,000, you are getting about $132. And below $50,000 you hardly need any ink to draw the bar. Off the chart for millionaires, do not need ink to draw the bar for ordinary Americans.
Now, we were told we had to do that to create jobs. Let us see how many jobs have been created because we went so far in debt. We were willing to go so far in debt and give tax cuts to the wealthy, how many jobs were created? Well, we have lost, have not gained, we have lost almost 3 million jobs during this administration.
Now, we hear the great excuse: ``9/11.'' Everything that goes wrong is because of 9/11. Because of 9/11 we lost jobs. But wait. Every 4 years back to Harry Truman, everybody has been gaining jobs, everybody has been able to end their term of office with more jobs than they came in with. President Eisenhower, in his second administration he lost about 200,000 jobs but he gained 1,900,000 in his first term to his net plus 1,700,000 jobs. Everybody else, every 4 years gained jobs.
If you want to blame 9/11, you ought to notice that this chart includes not just 9/11, but it also includes the Korean War and the Vietnam War, hostages in Iran, the Persian Gulf War from 12 years ago, the Cold War, Kosovo, Grenada, everything else, everybody is gaining jobs until the result of this fiscal irresponsibility has actually cost us jobs.
Now, when you run up this kind of debt, you have to pay interest on the national debt. This chart shows the interest on the national debt we expected to pay after President Clinton left office going down to zero because we were on target to paying off the entire national debt.
This red line is the interest on the national debt we are going to end up having to pay because of our fiscal irresponsibility. By 2009, the difference is almost $300 billion. Now, let us put $300 billion into perspective. At $30,000 a piece, you can hire 10 million people with $300 billion. 10 million. And it gets wider and wider as you go out.
This is an opportunity that we are going to lose because we are going to be $300 billion less than we thought we were going to have when President Clinton left office.
We also have to recognize that the Social Security program will be a challenge. These red bars represent the fact that we are bringing in more Social Security funds than we are paying out. That is because we recognize that when the baby boomers retire, we will be paying out more than we are bringing in. And we need to build up the trust fund so that hopefully we can pay this as much as we can.
2017 it goes into deficit. We are now spending all of this Social Security surplus on the present budget. We are in deficit even after we have spent the Social Security and Medicare. The Medicare chart looks similar to this. We are spending the Social Security surplus.
Now, when you cross the 300 line, 2025, somewhere in there, when you cross the 300 line that is $1,000 for every man, woman, and child including those on Social Security. Every man, woman, and child $1,000. When you cross the 600 line, that is $2,000 for every man, woman, and child just to make this, just to pay the Social Security shortfall.
Now, you may look at this and decide, well that is too challenging, we never could have paid it. It is just too much of a problem. But when you look back at this chart, we have been told that if you just look at what this administration wants to give to the top 1 percent, top 1 percent, that would have been enough to pay Social Security benefits without reducing benefits, without increasing the age for 75 years, or you can give the top 1 percent a tax cut.
Now, Mr. Greenspan told us that if you extend the tax cuts like it looks like this administration will propose, it has proposed, if we extend the tax cuts we should cut Social Security. Now, I think he used the word ``adjust'' Social Security. He is talking about increasing the age, reducing the COLA. I think most people, including the Republican officials, have categorized that as a cut. And I think most people would view that as a cut; they are going to be getting less than they would have if you had not made that adjustment. I would certainly call that a cut.
But he said if you extend the tax cuts, you have to cut Social Security. The GAO issued a report recently that showed that we are on track to disaster. A great political philosopher once said, ``If you do not change directions, you may end up where you are headed.''
Well, the GAO says that we are headed towards a situation in a few years, a couple of decades where the Social Security deficit and interest on the national debt alone will absorb all of the projected Federal revenues for those years. In other words, all of the revenues will be insufficient to pay just the Social Security shortfall and interest on the national debt. That is without Medicare, and Medicaid, and that is without any other Federal spending. Just the Social Security shortfall and interest on the national debt will absorb all of the Federal revenues.
Obviously, that is a direction we should not be going in. We need to change directions. And the reason we cannot fund many of the things that you mentioned that the gentleman from Maryland (Mr. Cummings), the chairman of the Black Caucus, mentioned is because we are using up the money in interest in the national debt.
We are having trouble funding police officers, 100,000 police officers. And we said we could with the $300 billion additional interest on the national debt that we will be paying in just a few years, we could have hired 10 million people at $30,000 apiece, 5 million at $60,000 a piece, and we are having trouble trying to find funds to hire 100,000 police officers.
We cannot properly fund veterans benefits, education, health care. There are a lot of things we cannot do because it is all being absorbed by the interest on the national debt necessitated because we have put our budget in unprecedented deficit.
Now, the idea that we are going to get a promise that the deficit will be cut in half in 5 years is really insulting. We should be talking about how we get back up into surplus where we were when this administration came in. Instead of running up debt, we ought to be running up surpluses so we will be prepared to meet the challenges of Social Security.
At this rate, with all this red ink, we will be so far in debt that we will not have anything for Social Security. We will not have anything for Medicare. We will not have anything for jobs because we are paying interest on the red ink that we are running up. That is the problem that we have. And the additional problem that we have is that the tough choices that created this green ink, were tough choices, politically tough choices. And you can not make those tough choices until you have at least acknowledged a problem.
This administration refers to this graph and the deficit as ``manageable.'' That is why we need a graph to show the people what we are talking about. This administration refers to this job graph by saying that the tax cuts are working. The tax cuts are not working. We have lost 3 million jobs. And so you need the graph to show specifically what we are talking about in this budget and how bad it is.
And, so, I would say to the chairman of the Congressional Black Caucus, I thank him for the opportunity to present the problem so that we can, as others participate, can talk about the things that we cannot fund because we have this situation where we are so far in the hole with a graph such as this. You cannot create a graph like this by accident. We are far in the hole, and we need to dig ourselves out so that we can make the important investments in education, in health care, in veterans benefits and the other important challenges that we have before us. And I thank the gentleman from Maryland (Mr. Cummings) for yielding.
Mr. Speaker, this is the problem with using rhetoric without using charts to show what we are talking about. You have indicated that some have looked at this chart and said we are in a recovery. Others have said the tax cuts are working. One looks at the chart, this is a miserable failure. We have lost 3 million jobs. I do not call that a recovery.
Now, if you go back 50 to 75 years, they blame a recession. The experts will say that this administration did not inherit a recession. The recession began on this administration's watch.
Whenever it started, it has been over by all accounts since the end of 2001. Since then, we have had all of 2002, and 2003 and we are into 2004. No recession from the beginning of any recession in the last 50 years, we have always within about 30 months recovered all of the jobs that were lost during the recession within about 30 months. Here we are almost 40 months after the beginning, whenever they say it started, it has been at least 40 months, we have not recovered the jobs yet.
This is the worst recovery we have had in modern history. That is not a recovery.
Mr. Speaker, when people talk about 9/11, they have to take into consideration that this chart goes back to Truman and Eisenhower, that includes the Korean War, it includes Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon, it included the Vietnam War, the Cold War, the hostages in Iran, Grenada, Somalia, Kosovo, the Persian Gulf War. All of those are on this chart. Everyone created jobs during their four-year administration.
President Clinton, 10 million jobs the first term, over 10 million both the first term and over 10 million jobs over the second term. Everyone has had problems. There have been recessions all the way up and down here. Everyone has been able to deal with adversity and create jobs. Until you get here.
Now, if the President had offered an economic plan that had been rejected, he might say that because you rejected my plan, if you had only adopted my plan, things would have been better. We adopted his plan. We passed, I did not vote for them, but Congress passed his plan. And it resulted in a massive deficit and job loss.
When you lose jobs, there are things that, first of all, I do not know how you can spend that kind of money. Right after 9/11, we appropriated $40 billion. At $40,000 each you could have hired a million people. I do not know how you end up losing jobs; 9/11 actually should have stimulated jobs, not lost jobs. The problem is that this administration does not look at money, financial responsibility, with anyone. They decided to do something. It does not matter how much it costs.
Just look at the war in Iraq. The Persian Gulf War 12 years ago cost the United States $7.4 billion, 7.4. Now, the 60, 70, $80 billion was the total cost; but because we had allies, total cost was $7.4 billion.
When we appropriated $87 billion a few months ago, we had already spent $79 billion on the war. Total $166 billion; 7.4, 166, just to implement the my-way-or-the-highway, go-it-alone strategy. Had we developed some allies so that someone else could help pay the money and absorb some of the causalities, it is not all our money and all our causalities, it would have been closer to the 7.4 than the 166.
Now, we are going, the estimates are about $50 billion. The chairman of the Committee on the Budget has estimated about $50 billion will be coming next year for Iraq, so that is another 50, 7.4, 166, 50 and who knows what after that.
Let us put the 166 in perspective. That is more money than we spent in a year on the Department of Homeland Security for the security of the United States; and the Department of Education, the entire Department of Education budget. Plus, it is still more than the Department of Transportation, all road-building we are supposed to be doing. And it is more than the Department of Labor and Department of State. Add them all up, combined.
Combined. Homeland Security, Education, Transportation, Department of Labor, Department of State, add them all up, it does not come to $166 billion; 7.4, 166. How much do you have to spend before someone suggests that the spending is out of control?
If you are going to spend $166 billion and we would be willing to spend whatever it takes to make the United States safe. We are now debating whether we are safer or not as a result of spending as a result of spending $166 billion. It looks to me that there are a lot of other things you could have done with a $166 billion budget that would have made America a lot safer than we are today.
But look at the red ink. I mean, when you start adding it up, there was not a peep mentioned about how we were going to pay it. No sacrifice. And, in fact, when you look at some of the things that the House passed right after 9/11 with most of the votes coming from the Republican side of the aisle, we passed one provision which was a repeal of the alternative minimum tax for corporations. That is kind of technical, but what we found about 15, 20 years ago was that a lot of corporations were paying out dividends year after year after year. They were profitable companies; but because they had so many loopholes and deductions, they were paying no income tax. And so they passed a provision many years ago called the alternative minimum tax for corporations. In the alternative for no tax, at least pay a minimum tax. And that has been a law right after 9/11 when everyone was supposed to be sacrificing. The House passed a provision to eliminate the alternative minimum tax for corporations.
They took that opportunity when everyone is supposed to be sacrificing to eliminate the alternative minimum tax for corporations. And while they were at it, they have made the repeal retroactive for 15 years. So if you had paid the alternative minimum tax in the last 15 years, you would get your money back. Several corporations would be getting a billion dollars back. Enron would get $250 million.
Now, if you had a company and you got a billion dollars retroactive tax relief, an employee of that corporation would be no more likely to have a job the next day than the day before. That is not stimulating the economy. There is no more demand for your product. Now the uppity- ups in the corporation would be more likely to get their bonuses, the stockholders more likely to get their dividends. But an employee for the company, because there is no more demand for the product, is no more likely to have a job the next day than the day before. That is the kind of provision that this House passed.
Thankfully, there was a Democratic majority in the Senate at that time and that was defeated in the Senate. But when you talk about sacrifice and how do you pay for a $166 billion war, well, you do not worry about it; you just let the next generation pay for it. You pay for it out of the next generation's Social Security. You borrow the money and worry about it later. That is not the fiscally responsible thing to do. It is not how you stimulate the economy. It is not how you produce jobs, and it is not what you ought to be doing to the next generations.
The idea that if we do nothing, that that is a tax increase. The important thing is not to worry about what the label is. The important thing is to look at this chart. The policies of this administration which have been pretty much adopted in total have resulted in a deterioration in the budget almost equivalent to the total amount of money that we get from the individual income taxes.
The money we get from the individual income tax totals less than $800 billion. We have a $750 billion deterioration in this budget in just 3 years. And so whatever you call it, whatever label you put on it, look at the chart. This is called tax cuts are working, deficit is manageable, whatever you want to call it. Look at what this administration's policy resulted in.
Now, you talked about who is paying for it. Part of the war is being paid for by veterans benefits. We are debating now as to whether or not we are going to at least maintain present services.
For veterans.
The President's budget does not include enough money to maintain just the little present benefits for veterans. They want some veterans to pay more fees for health services, some not to be eligible, less services, while the war is being fought. So the veterans themselves will have to come back and pay the interest on the debt on the war that they fought in. That is not right.
We are not able to fund the kind of things like Cops on the Beat. Now remember, in just 5 years we will be spending approximately $300 billion more in interest on the national debt than we should have had to pay. You can hire at $30,000 a piece, 10 million
people for that amount of money or 5 million at $60,000. We are trying to find a little money to hire 100,000 police officers, to hire teachers, health care workers; and we cannot find the money because it is all being used up in interest on the national debt that is run up because you have to pay interest on the national debt since you are obviously not paying off any debt while you are in the hole. You only pay off debt when you are above the line. When you are in the hole, you are running up more debt, you have to pay more interest on the national debt.
We cannot pay for our transportation projects. There are so many things that we cannot do because we are running up so much interest on the national debt. And remember that we have the exploding Social Security problem in just a few years. We ought to be preparing for that, not wake up in 2014 and wonder why the Social Security surplus is no longer there. It is not going to be there after 2014. We are going to have to come up with more money. We will not have the gravy train of 100-some billion dollars or go up to $275 billion in Social Security surplus to run through.
It is a growing deficit, and there is no provision in the President's budget or the Committee on the Budget's budget that we are about to, that they will probably adopt; there is nothing in there to prepare us for the Social Security shortfall and the interest on the national debt.
The GAO just issued a report in the last few days that shows if we keep going in the direction we are going, in just a couple of decades the Social Security shortfall and interest on the national debt will absorb all Federal revenues. That means no Medicaid, no Medicare, no Federal spending on anything including defense. You spend all your money just in Social Security and interest on the national debt unless there is a profound change in direction.
Well, you need to make tough choices; and, fundamentally, the strategy ought to be the green.
In 1993 when President Clinton came in, we made tough choices. He vetoed bills that were inconsistent with his tough choices and we went into surplus. These are tough choices. This was the strategy that created fiscal responsibility and 20 million jobs in 8 years. Fiscal irresponsibility is when you start passing massive tax cuts without paying for them, just borrow the money for the tax cuts. Some say we are giving you your money back. No, no, no, no, no. We have spent your money. We are sending back money we have borrowed from overseas and giving it back because we spent your money.
We spend your money and everybody else's money and Social Security and everything else, a deterioration in the budget, $750 billion, almost the same as the total amount that we received from the individual income tax.
Mr. Speaker, the President's budget eliminates funding for the juvenile justice programs, the prevention programs, the early intervention programs, the kinds of things that you can pay now and pay less later. He had to cut those out because having spent all the money in tax cuts and having gone so far in debt, there is nothing left over for those important programs; and you are talking about hundreds of millions of dollars. This is hundreds of billions of dollars that we are in deficit, and we cannot make the little kinds of payments.
My colleague talked about jobs. The small business program which is just less than $100 million, that is one-tenth of $1 billion. Here we are almost $700 billion in the hole, one-tenth of $1 billion, and that program creates jobs. The only thing the government has to pay out is when the loan defaults because it is a loan guarantee program. So just for every now and then there is a default we have to pay. For every 2 or $3,000 we pay out, we are creating a job because tens and hundreds of thousands of dollars has been borrowed, guaranteed, paid back. So we do not have to pay anything. For every 2 or $3,000 we actually have to pay out, we have created a job.
When you start going in the hole hundreds of billions of dollars and have a program that can create jobs for 2 or $3,000 a piece, why did that get cut out? Because you just ran so far in debt that you did not have any money left over.
Mr. Speaker, if the gentleman would yield, I think they have been revising that number back and forth, but whatever the projections are, let us look at the results. No President has left office in over 50 years with fewer jobs than they started off with until this administration. We are down 3 million jobs; and if you are interested in jobs, remember that in just a few years we will be spending $300 billion on additional interest on the national debt that had not been anticipated when President Clinton left office, $300 billion dollar. At $30,000 each, you can hire 10 million people. There are only 9 million people unemployed and receiving unemployment in America today. Instead of an unemployment check, you have enough money there in additional interest on the national debt that we should not have to pay to hire everybody that is drawing an unemployment check.
On those transportation jobs, is there not something unique about those jobs? We keep talking about transferring jobs overseas. When you have a transportation-created job, where does that work take place?
This?
This is if you are making 50 to $75,000, you are on average, the average income group, $132. Below that you hardly need any ink to draw the bar. However, if you are making more than $1 million, you explode way off the chart.
Fifty to $75,000: $132. Now there are a lot of different variations in that, depending on the child tax credit. If you have a lot of children, you may get more tax credit. If you are single, you may not get anything at all. On average, 50 to $75,000, you are getting $132 a year.
Mr. Speaker, the problem is that unless you recognize that there is a problem you are not going to come make the tough choices to fix it. Most people would glance at this chart and say we have a problem. This administration says that this is manageable, and on the job chart where he looks like he will be the first one to leave office with fewer jobs than he started off with, the tax cuts are working. No, the tax cuts are not working. We are losing jobs. If we passed the transportation bill, millions of jobs would be created.
This will go above the line. Pass the transportation bill. There are a lot of things we can do to stimulate jobs. Tax cuts to the wealthy have not worked. Transportation jobs will work. Tax cuts to those in the lower end, who will actually spend it and buy stuff with it, will work.
A millionaire, if he wants a television, he would have already bought a television. If he wants a car, he would have already bought a car. Someone in the lower brackets, if they get a couple hundred extra dollars, they are going to spend the money.
So there are a lot of things. Repealing the alternative minimum tax for corporations, we discussed, will not create any jobs; but that is how we were trying to spend the money, and that is why, as a result of all that spending, it still ended up no jobs. If you look at the study of the Republican-dominated Joint Committee on Taxation, when they looked at the 2003 and looked at tax cuts and looked at the taxes that were cut, they concluded you might have a little short-term spike in jobs. As a direct result of passing that bill, you will have fewer jobs in the fullness of time than you started off with, and that is because you did it with borrowed money. There was limited stimulus, and because you have got to pay interest on it, on the debt that you ran up in the fullness of time and just a few years as a direct result of passing the bill, you will have fewer jobs than you started off with.
We should not be surprised because of the taxes we cut that we are below the line. Had we used the money for transportation, for targeted tax cuts where they would have made a difference to help fund States or other programs, where we actually use the money in such a way that people will be hired, with all the spending, this thing ought to be off the chart. The budget has deteriorated $750 billion, almost the same
as what we get from the entire individual income tax. With that kind of spending, it should have been able to create some jobs.